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Final Oscar Nomination Predictions – 2023 Academy Awards

1/23/2023

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The Friendly Film Fan Makes its Final Predictions for the 95th Academy Award Nominations.
​Greetings, readers! It’s been a while. There will be time for explanations later, Where did he go? Where has he been? How is he so unbelievably handsome and only getting more so every day but also staying so humble about it? All things in due time, but right now, there is lots to get into and not a lot of time to get into it, so here we go!
 
Oscar nominations are tomorrow morning! Every year, I post nomination predictions; this year I did slip a little bit in that department, BUT I am back one last time to give you all my rundown, now that all the major pre-cursors have revealed their own nominations, of what I think stands to compete at this year’s awards ceremony. Each nomination field will include my selections for what’s most likely to be nominated in said category, as well as the presence of 3 “wildcard” picks, which are outside possibilities that could sneak in under the right circumstances. Sometimes these wildcard selections are very likely spoilers, some are somewhat possible, and some are genuine long shots with only the slimmest of probabilities, but one thing is always clear on nomination day – the possibilities are endless. So, without further ado, let’s dive right in. These are my final predictions for the 2023 Oscar Nominations!
BEST PICTURE
Predicted Nominees:
  • All Quiet on the Western Front
  • Avatar: The Way of Water
  • The Banshees of Inisherin
  • Elvis
  • Everything Everywhere All at Once
  • The Fabelmans
  • TÁR
  • Top Gun: Maverick
  • The Whale
  • Women Talking
Wildcard(s):
  • Babylon
  • Triangle of Sadness
  • The Woman King
 
BEST DIRECTOR
Predicted Nominees:
  • Edward Berger, All Quiet on the Western Front
  • Martin McDonagh, The Banshees of Inisherin
  • Daniel Kwan and Daniel Scheinert, Everything Everywhere All at Once
  • Steven Spielberg, The Fabelmans
  • Todd Field, TÁR
Wildcard(s):
  • James Cameron, Avatar: The Way of Water
  • Baz Luhrmann, Elvis
  • Joseph Kosinski, Top Gun: Maverick
 
BEST ACTRESS
Predicted Nominees
  • Ana de Armas, Blonde
  • Cate Blanchett, TÁR
  • Viola Davis, The Woman King
  • Danielle Deadwyler, Till
  • Michelle Yeoh, Everything Everywhere All at Once
Wildcard(s):
  • Andrea Riseborough, To Leslie
  • Margot Robbie, Babylon
  • Michelle Williams, The Fabelmans
 
BEST ACTOR
Predicted Nominees
  • Austin Butler, Elvis
  • Colin Farrell, The Banshees of Inisherin
  • Brendan Fraser, The Whale
  • Paul Mescal, Aftersun
  • Bill Nighy, Living
Wildcard(s):
  • Tom Cruise, Top Gun: Maverick
  • Jeremy Pope, The Inspection
  • Adam Sandler, Hustle
 
BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS
Predicted Nominees:
  • Angela Bassett, Black Panther: Wakanda Forever
  • Hong Chau, The Whale
  • Kerry Condon, The Banshees of Inisherin
  • Jamie Lee Curtis, Everything Everywhere All at Once
  • Dolly de Leon, Triangle of Sadness
Wildcard(s):
  • Jessie Buckley, Women Talking
  • Stephanie Hsu, Everything Everywhere All at Once
  • Carey Mulligan, She Said
 
BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR
Predicted Nominees:
  • Paul Dano, The Fabelmans
  • Brendan Gleeson, The Banshees of Inisherin
  • Barry Keoghan, The Banshees of Inisherin
  • Ke Huy Quan, Everything Everywhere All at Once
  • Eddie Redmayne, The Good Nurse
Wildcard(s):
  • Brian Tyree Henry, Causeway
  • Brad Pitt, Babylon
  • Ben Wishaw, Women Talking
 
BEST ANIMATED FEATURE
Predicted Nominees:
  • Guillermo Del Toro’s Pinocchio
  • Marcel the Shell with Shoes On
  • Puss in Boots: The Last Wish
  • Turning Red
  • Wendell and Wild
Wildcard(s):
  • Apollo 10 ½: A Space Age Childhood
  • My Father’s Dragon
  • The Sea Beast
 
BEST INTERNATIONAL FEATURE FILM
Predicted Nominees:
  • All Quiet on the Western Front (Germany)
  • Argentina, 1985 (Argentina)
  • Close (Belgium)
  • Decision to Leave (South Korea)
  • The Quiet Girl (Ireland)
Wildcard(s):
  • Bardo, False Chronicle of a Handful of Truths (Mexico)
  • Corsage (Austria)
  • EO (Poland)
 
BEST DOCUMENTARY FEATURE
Predicted Nominees:
  • All That Breathes
  • All the Beauty and the Bloodshed
  • Descendant
  • Fire of Love
  • Navalny
Wildcard(s):
  • Hallelujah: Leonard Cohen, a Journey, a Song
  • Moonage Daydream
  • The Territory
 
BEST CINEMATOGRAPHY
Predicted Nominees:
  • James Friend, All Quiet on the Western Front
  • Greig Fraser, The Batman
  • Mandy Walker, Elvis
  • Roger Deakins, Empire of Light
  • Claudio Miranda, Top Gun: Maverick
Wildcard(s):
  • Russell Carpenter, Avatar: The Way of Water
  • Darius Khondji, Bardo, False Chronicle of a Handful of Truths
  • Janusz Kaminski, The Fabelmans
 
BEST FILM EDITING
Predicted Nominees:
  • The Banshees of Inisherin
  • Elvis
  • Everything Everywhere All at Once
  • The Fabelmans
  • Top Gun: Maverick
Wildcard(s):
  • All Quiet on the Western Front
  • Avatar: The Way of Water
  • TÁR
 
BEST PRODUCTION DESIGN
Predicted Nominees:
  • Avatar: The Way of Water
  • Babylon
  • Black Panther: Wakanda Forever
  • Elvis
  • The Fabelmans
Wildcard(s):
  • All Quiet on the Western Front
  • The Batman
  • Everything Everywhere All at Once
 
BEST COSTUME DESIGN
Predicted Nominees:
  • Black Panther: Wakanda Forever
  • Elvis
  • Everything Everywhere All at Once
  • Mrs. Harris Goes to Paris
  • The Woman King
Wildcard(s):
  • Amsterdam
  • Babylon
  • Blonde
 
BEST MAKEUP & HAIRSTYLING
Predicted Nominees:
  • All Quiet on the Western Front
  • The Batman
  • Blonde
  • Elvis
  • The Whale
Wildcard(s):
  • Amsterdam
  • Black Panther: Wakanda Forever
  • Crimes of the Future
 
BEST ORIGINAL SCORE
Predicted Nominees:
  • Justin Hurwitz, Babylon
  • Carter Burwell, The Banshees of Inisherin
  • John Williams, The Fabelmans
  • Alexandre Desplat, Guillermo Del Toro’s Pinocchio
  • Hildur Guðnadóttir, Women Talking
Wildcard(s):
  • Volker Bertelmann, All Quiet on the Western Front
  • Son Lux, Everything Everywhere All at Once
  • Terence Blanchard, The Woman King
 
BEST ORIGINAL SONG
Predicted Nominees:
  • “Applause,” Tell It Like a Woman
  • “Ciao Papa,” Guillermo Del Toro’s Pinocchio
  • “Hold My Hand,” Top Gun: Maverick
  • “Lift Me Up,” Black Panther: Wakanda Forever
  • “Naatu Naatu,” RRR
Wildcard(s):
  • “Carolina,” Where the Crawdads Sing
  • “New Body Rhumba,” White Noise
  • “Stand Up,” Till
 
BEST ADAPTED SCREENPLAY
Predicted Nominees:
  • Edward Berger, Lesley Paterson, and Ian Stokell, All Quiet on the Western Front
  • Kazuo Ishiguro and Akira Kurosawa, Living
  • Rebecca Lenkiewicz, She Said
  • Darryn Aronofsky, The Whale
  • Sarah Polley and Miriam Toews, Women Talking
Wildcard(s):
  • David Kajganich, Bones and All
  • Rian Johnson, Glass Onion: A Knives Out Mystery
  • Noah Baumbach, White Noise
 
BEST ORIGNAL SCREENPLAY
Predicted Nominees:
  • Martin McDonagh, The Banshees of Inisherin
  • Daniel Kwan and Daniel Scheinert, Everything Everywhere All at Once
  • Tony Kushner and Steven Spielberg, The Fabelmans
  • Todd Field, TÁR
  • Ruben Östlund, Triangle of Sadness
Wildcard(s):
  • Charlotte Wells, Aftersun
  • Damien Chazelle, Babylon
  • Park Chan-wook and Seo-kyeong Jeong, Decision to Leave
 
BEST VISUAL EFFECTS
Predicted Nominees:
  • All Quiet on the Western Front
  • Avatar: The Way of Water
  • The Batman
  • Thirteen Lives
  • Top Gun: Maverick
Wildcard(s):
  • Black Panther: Wakanda Forever
  • Doctor Strange in the Multiverse of Madness
  • Fantastic Beasts: The Secrets of Dumbledore
 
BEST SOUND
Predicted Nominees:
  • All Quiet on the Western Front
  • Avatar: The Way of Water
  • The Batman
  • Elvis
  • Top Gun: Maverick
Wildcard(s):
  • Everything Everywhere All at Once
  • Guillermo Del Toro’s Pinocchio
  • Moonage Daydream
 
BEST LIVE-ACTION SHORT
Predicted Nominees:
  • An Irish Goodbye
  • Le Pupille
  • Nakam
  • The Red Suitcase
  • Warsha
Wildcard(s):
  • Ivalu
  • The Lone Wolf
  • The Treatment
 
BEST ANIMATED SHORT
Predicted Nominees:
  • The Boy, the Mole, the Fox and the Horse
  • The Flying Sailor
  • My Year of Dicks
  • New Moon
  • Save Ralph
Wildcard(s):
  • The Debutante
  • It’s Nice in Here
  • Steak House
 
BEST DOCUMENTARY SHORT
Predicted Nominees:
  • The Elephant Whisperers
  • The Flagmakers
  • Holding Moses
  • How do You Measure a Year?
  • 38 at the Garden
Wildcard(s):
  • American Justice on Trial: People v. Newton
  • Haulout
  • The Martha Mitchell Effect
And that’s it! What do you all think will wake up to nominations tomorrow morning? Are there any true wildcards you’re expecting? Let me know in the comments below, and thanks for reading! More soon!

- ​The Friendly Film Fan
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    Film critic in my free time. Film enthusiast in my down time.

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