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RIDICULOSULY EARLY OSCAR NOMINATION PREDICTIONS – 2022 ACADEMY AWARDS

8/24/2021

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​Hello, everyone, and welcome back to The Friendly Film Fan! To start, I am terribly sorry that I’m way less active on here than I used to be; between helping manage a movie theater and keeping up with my writing for Bitesize Breakdown, I haven’t had a lot of time to write full reviews or even mini ones for this blog, and a recent life event (which I won’t delve into just yet) forced me to take some time away from both. But fear not! I have some new material I’m announcing soon that hopefully will be exciting for you all to read about…or not read about (wink wink). Hopefully that all starts coming together more quickly, but until then, it’s time to begin with the yearly tradition Oscar Nomination Predictions!
 
As most of you know (although some may not, somehow), Oscar season is my favorite time of year. Typically taking place between mid-September and mid-January, studios release their big awards contenders – for Disney, it’s huge IP usually – and we all get to see high quality movies from exciting new artists as well as still-on-their-game returning ones. This year’s lineup is quite stacked, but despite the myriad of releases still to come, it can be hard to tell which ones will go for the gold and which ones won’t this early on. To that end, most of the “wildcard” picks in this lineup are either films which have no promotional material or footage out so far, or are possibilities of which I only have a rudimentary knowledge. Several of them are likely to change over the next two months or so, and some may seem blatantly outlandish by the time mid-December rolls around. Such is the nature of this sort of task. (Also, I do not predict the short films in the first round of predictions due to lack of knowledge regarding which ones will be good or not, as well as lack of access to those films so early in the year.)
 
My predictions are based on a variety of usual factors (directors, trailers, casts, categorical definition) as well as the opinions of great critics who study this sort of thing like The Oscar Expert or Next Best Picture. It’s always healthy to consult the experts (and their Brother Bros), but I always like to stick with a lot of my own feelings towards the season as well. With all that being said, let’s dive right in to my first installment of Ridiculously Early Oscar Nomination Predictions!  
Best Picture:
  • CODA
  • Don’t Look Up
  • Dune
  • House of Gucci
  • Mass
  • Nightmare Alley
  • The Power of the Dog
  • Soggy Bottom
  • The Tragedy of Macbeth
  • West Side Story (2021)
Wildcard(s):
  • Belfast
  • The Humans
  • Tick, Tick…Boom!
Best Director:
  • Denis Villeneuve, Dune
  • Ridley Scott, House of Gucci
  • Jane Campion, The Power of the Dog
  • Joel Coen, The Tragedy of Macbeth
  • Steven Spielberg, West Side Story (2021)
Wildcard(s):
  • Paolo Sorrentino, The Hand of God
  • Guillermo Del Toro, Nightmare Alley
  • Paul Thomas Anderson, Soggy Bottom
Best Actress:
  • Cate Blanchett, Nightmare Alley
  • Jessica Chastain, The Eyes of Tammy Faye
  • Lady Gaga, House of Gucci
  • Jennifer Hudson, Respect
  • Frances McDormand, The Tragedy of Macbeth
Wildcard(s):
  • Nicole Kidman, Being the Ricardos
  • Kristen Stewart, Spencer
  • Rachel Zegler, West Side Story ​(2021)
Best Actor:
  • Bradley Cooper, Nightmare Alley
  • Benedict Cumberbatch, The Power of the Dog
  • Leonardo DiCaprio, Don’t Look Up
  • Will Smith, King Richard
  • Denzel Washington, The Tragedy of Macbeth
Wildcard(s):
  • Adam Driver, House of Gucci
  • Andrew Garfield, Tick, Tick…Boom!
  • Joaquin Phoenix, C’mon C’mon
Best Supporting Actress:
  • Ariana DeBose, West Side Story (2021)
  • Ann Dowd, Mass
  • Kirsten Dunst, The Power of the Dog
  • Marlee Matlin, CODA
  • Anya Taylor-Joy, Last Night in Soho
Wildcard(s):
  • Jane Houdyshell, The Humans
  • Rooney Mara, Nightmare Alley
  • Martha Plimpton, Mass
Best Supporting Actor:
  • Bradley Cooper, Soggy Bottom
  • Jared Leto, House of Gucci
  • Corey Hawkins, The Tragedy of Macbeth
  • Jason Isaacs, Mass
  • Jesse Plemons, The Power of the Dog
Wildcard(s):
  • Adam Driver, The Last Duel
  • Richard Jenkins, The Humans
  • Troy Kotsur, CODA
Best Animated Feature:
  • Encanto
  • Flee
  • Luca
  • The Mitchells vs. the Machines
  • Raya and the Last Dragon
Wildcard(s):
  • Belle
  • Charlotte
  • Where Is Anne Frank?
Best International Feature Film:
  • Flee
  • The Hand of God
  • A Hero
  • Parallel Mothers
  • Titane
Wildcard(s):
  • Compartment No. 6
  • Petite Maman
  • The Worst Person in the World
Best Documentary Feature:
  • Flee
  • In the Same Breath
  • The Sparks Brothers
  • Summer of Soul
  • The Velvet Underground
Wildcard(s):
  • Rita Moreno: Just a Girl Who Decided to Go for It
  • Roadrunner: A Film About Anthony Bourdain
  • Street Gang: How We Got to Sesame Street
Best Cinematography:
  • Greig Fraser, Dune
  • Robert D. Yeoman, The French Dispatch
  • Daria D’Antonio, The Hand of God
  • Dan Laustsen, Nightmare Alley
  • Ari Wegner, The Power of the Dog
Wildcard(s):
  • Chung-hoon Chung, Last Night in Soho
  • Bruno Delbonnel, The Tragedy of Macbeth
  • Janusz Kaminski, West Side Story (2021)
Best Film Editing:
  • Hank Corwin, Don’t Look Up
  • Claire Simpson, House of Gucci
  • Paul Machliss, Last Night in Soho
  • Cam McLauchlin, Nightmare Alley
  • Peter Sciberras, The Power of the Dog
Wildcard(s):
  • Geraud Brisson, CODA
  • Joe Walker, Dune
  • Sarah Broshar and Michael Kahn, West Side Story (2021)
Best Production Design:
  • Patrice Vermette, Dune
  • Adam Stockhausen, The French Dispatch
  • Tamara Deverell, Nightmare Alley
  • Stefan Dechant, The Tragedy of Macbeth
  • Adam Stockhausen, West Side Story (2021)
Wildcard(s):
  • Fiona Crombie, Cruella
  • Arthur Max, The Last Duel
  • Grant Major, The Power of the Dog
Best Costume Design:
  • Jenny Beavan, Cruella
  • Milena Canonero, The French Dispatch
  • Janty Yates, House of Gucci
  • Luis Sequeira, Nightmare Alley
  • Paul Tazewell, West Side Story (2021)
Wildcard(s):
  • Jacqueline West and Bob Morgan, Dune
  • Odile Dicks-Mireaux, Last Night in Soho
  • Mary Zophres, The Tragedy of Macbeth
Best Makeup & Hairstyling:
  • Being the Ricardos
  • Cruella
  • Dune
  • The Eyes of Tammy Faye
  • House of Gucci
Wildcard(s):
  • The French Dispatch
  • Nightmare Alley
  • Spencer
Best Original Score:
  • Hans Zimmer, Dune
  • Alexandre Desplat, The French Dispatch
  • Alexandre Desplat, Nightmare Alley
  • Jonny Greenwood, The Power of the Dog
  • Carter Burwell, The Tragedy of Macbeth
Wildcard(s):
  • Antonio Pinto, Nine Days
  • Steven Price, Last Night in Soho
  • Mica Levi, Spencer
Best Original Song:
  • Dear Evan Hansen
  • Encanto
  • In the Heights
  • Tick, Tick…Boom!
  • Vivo
Wildcard(s):
  • N/A
Best Adapted Screenplay:
  • Denis Villeneuve, Dune
  • Roberto Bentivegna and Becky Johnston, House of Gucci
  • Kim Morgan and Guillermo Del Toro, Nightmare Alley
  • Joel Coen, The Tragedy of Macbeth
  • Jane Campion, The Power of the Dog
Wildcard(s):
  • Siân Heder, CODA
  • Stephen Karam, The Humans
  • Ben Affleck, Matt Damon, and Nicole Holofcener, The Last Duel
Best Original Screenplay:
  • Aaron Sorkin, Being the Ricardos
  • Adam McKay, Don’t Look Up
  • Edgar Wright, Last Night in Soho
  • Fran Kranz, Mass
  • Paul Thomas Anderson, Soggy Bottom
Wildcard(s):
  • Kenneth Branagh, Belfast
  • Edson Oda, Nine Days
  • Joachim Trier and Eskil Vogt, The Worst Person in the World
Best Visual Effects:
  • Dune
  • Eternals
  • Godzilla vs. Kong
  • The Matrix 4
  • The Suicide Squad
Wildcard(s):
  • Ghostbusters: Afterlife
  • The Green Knight
  • Shang-Chi and the Legend of the Ten Rings
Best Sound:
  • CODA
  • Dune
  • No Time to Die
  • Nightmare Alley
  • West Side Story (2021)
Wildcard(s):
  • In the Heights
  • The Last Duel
  • Last Night in Soho
And those are my first predictions so far for the 2022 Oscar Nominations! What do you think of these predictions? Do you agree with them? Any you disagree with? Let me know in the comments below. Thanks for reading, and stay tuned for some exciting announcements coming soon!
 
- The Friendly Film Fan
1 Comment
Lhynzie link
3/10/2022 02:27:22 am

Excellent content! Thank you for sharing this wealth of information. It was very interesting and very knowledgeable. Thanks for sharing your thoughts. Kudos!

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    Film critic in my free time. Film enthusiast in my down time.

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