Hello, all, and welcome back to The Friendly Film Fan once again! I do apologize that I haven’t been as active on this blog as I would have liked over the past few weeks – I have been catching up on a bunch of movies from this year that I hadn’t seen yet, writing for Bitesize Review, and desperately hoping that the results of the U.S. Presidential election aren’t going to make me consider making a bid for Toronto, Canada at some point in the near future. (I pray it doesn’t happen.) Beyond all of that, plus working my day job, I haven’t had much time to squeeze in full reviews of a lot of things, or keep up with a lot of the movie news coverage beyond which movies have been getting delayed, and which movies are just now starting to ramp up production. But hey, we get a Spider-Man 3 teaser next month, so that’s nice! A fourth installment of Mini Reviews is pending, so keep an eye out for that, and more full reviews coming just as soon as I can get the time (as well as the official announcement of a very special new thing that I’ve been working on for months).
So, the Oscars. I love them. Any time that anyone asks me what my favorite season is, the answer is and always shall be “Oscar season.” Normally, this would take place sometime between early October and the first week of January, but, y’know, *gestures loudly at everything*. As a result of the COVID-19 pandemic ravaging all manner of arts industries across the world, and the movie industry existing underneath that umbrella, many of the films we expected to see by now have been delayed, whether indefinitely or to a future date sometime next year. This includes many of the larger movies which were expected to compete in more technical categories, such as Marvel’s Black Widow and Eternals, as well as heavier awards-season fare like Denis Villeneuve’s highly-anticipated adaptation of Dune and Daniel Craig’s final Bond film, No Time to Die. Before most of these moved, however, during the nationwide theatrical shutdown, the Academy had the insight to postpone the Oscars to the later date of April 25th, 2021, in order to give everyone a fair chance of competing, with the submission deadline for nominations moving to February 28th.
Luckily, film festivals like NYFF and TIFF were quick on their feet to respond to these adjustments, and held largely virtual screenings with limited capacities for many of the films they had planned to show, although some festivals, such as Telluride and Cannes (two other major awards indicators), had to be cancelled anyway. This meant that although the Oscars are still pretty far off, many of the films that hoped to compete for them (and weren’t moved past the submission deadline) could be seen by critics and small audiences, and thus the image of an Oscar race, however slight, could begin to take shape. Several contenders, such as Florian Zeller’s The Father and Chloe Zhao’s Nomadland already have a good deal of heat behind them, and David Fincher’s long-awaited Netflix project Mank has just emerged as a major frontrunner as well, after screening for critics two days ago. With all this in mind, I figured now was as good a time as any to get started on The Friendly Film Fan’s Oscars coverage, and put out the first round of nomination predictions.
A few notes before we begin: I can only use films that I know are meant to be releasing before the February 28th deadline for nomination consideration, so certain contenders in some categories, like Judas and the Black Messiah, are not listed because the film has been delayed to 2021 without a firm release date. There is also a highly likely scenario in which Wonder Woman 1984, which is currently listed as a prediction in the VFX category, is postponed past that submission deadline, and thus made unable to compete this year. These are not predictions for what the Oscars are definitely going to look like by April; these are ridiculously early predictions based on the data I have to work with right now. By Sunday, four major nominees could be moved to summer 2021. We’ll just have to wait and see. Also (and this really should go without saying), the Short Film categories are not included here, and won’t be joining the other predictions until the Oscars shortlists are released. Now, let’s get into it. Here are my Ridiculously Early Oscar Nomination Predictions for the Academy Awards of 2021!
Well, there they are, all my predictions for the 2021 Academy Award nominations! What do you think will be competing for 2020’s top movie prizes? Do any of these seem too far-fetched? Too light on nominations? Let me know in the comments section below. Thanks for reading!
- The Friendly Film Fan