by Jacob Jones The 97th Annual Academy Awards took place Sunday night, once again held at the Dolby Theatre in Los Angeles, and hosted by Conan O’Brien. The legendary television host made a real game of the night, taking cracks at everyone from Drake to the President Trump to Best Actress nominee Karla Sofía Gascón herself (who was in attendance). Some bits worked, very few didn’t, and even when the night ran a little long, he always seemed to be having a good time. The big news of the night was that Sean Baker – writer, director, editor, and producer of the film Anora – took home four Oscars, including one for Best Picture of the Year; this makes Baker only the second person to take home four Oscars in the same night after Walt Disney, and the first to win them all for the same movie. Mikey Madison also triumphed over expected winner Demi Moore in Best Actress, bringing Anora’s grand total to five wins, losing only one for which it was nominated (Best Supporting Actor for Yura Borisov) to A Real Pain’s Kieran Culkin. Among other winners were the documentary feature film No Other Land (which as of this writing still lacks U.S. distribution) for which both the Palestinian and Israeli filmmakers gave impassioned speeches advocating against the ethnic cleansing of Palestine itself, Janus Film’ Latvian animation Flow, which took home Best Animated Feature, and Walter Salles’ Brazilian submission to the Oscars, I’m Still Here, which took home the award for Best International Feature, leaving Emilia Pérez – the most nominated film of the night – with only two wins for Best Original Song (“El Mal”) and Best Supporting Actress, which went to Zoe Saldaña to cap off a clean awards season sweep. The Brutalist also took home three wins for Best Cinematography, Best Original Score, and Best Actor, which went to Adrien Brody, marking his second win in the category and denying Timothée Chalamet the opportunity to break Brody’s record of being the youngest person to ever win the Best Actor Oscar. Wicked and Dune: Part Two also won two Oscars each in the expected categories, with each Dune team giving special shout-outs to Director Denis Villeneuve, whom the Academy failed to recognize for his titanic achievement in adapted Frank Herbert’s iconic sci-fi novel. Of course, The Substance took home the award for Best Makeup & Hairstyling in a landslide victory, and Conclave concluded its winning run in Best Adapted Screenplay. Overall, it was a solid list of winners over the course of a rather average Oscars night, all things considered. Personally, I only missed five predictions (three of which were in the Shorts categories, a widely agreed-upon mess of winners), with my largest unpaid risk being predicting Conclave for Best Film Editing over Anora. Still, some of the larger risks I took – like Flow in Animated Feature – did pay off, so I can hardly complain. In any case, here’s hoping for a slightly less exhausting awards press cycle next year, and a long year of great movies ahead. (Speaking of a long year, I’ve got some catching up to do…) A full list of the winners is below. What did you think of the Oscars last night? Did you do well on your ballot? Let us know in the comments section below, and thanks for reading! - The Friendly Film Fan Full Winners List
Best Picture: Anora Best Director: Sean Baker, Anora Best Actress in a Leading Role: Mikey Madison, Anora Best Actor in a Leading Role: Adrien Brody, The Brutalist Best Actress in a Supporting Role: Zoe Saldaña, Emilia Pérez Best Actor in a Supporting Role: Kieran Culkin, A Real Pain Best Animated Feature: Flow (Latvia) Best International Feature: I’m Still Here (Brazil) Best Documentary Feature: No Other Land Best Cinematography: Lol Crawley, The Brutalist Best Film Editing: Sean Baker, Anora Best Production Design: Nathan Crowley, Wicked Best Costume Design: Paul Tazewell, Wicked Best Makeup & Hairstyling: The Substance Best Original Score: Daniel Blumberg, The Brutalist Best Original Song: “El Mal,” Emilia Pérez Best Adapted Screenplay: Peter Straughn, Conclave Best Original Screenplay: Sean Baker, Anora Best Visual Effects: Dune: Part Two Best Sound: Dune: Part Two Best Live-Action Short: I’m Not a Robot Best Animated Short: In the Shadow of the Cypress Best Documentary Short: The Only Girl in the Orchestra
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The Friendly Film Fan Selects What Will and What Should Win at 97th Annual Ceremony. by Jacob Jones Greetings all, and welcome back to The Friendly Film Fan! We are one mere day away from the 97th Annual Academy Awards and the end of a very long and chaotic awards season. Front-runners have come and gone, momentum has shifted dramatically from where it once was, and entire years have passed in the broader socio-political atmosphere between January 1 and well, today. With all that said, there is one final task ahead of us, and that’s to make our guesses for what will take home the gold tomorrow night. We’ll go category-by-category, the same as we did with our nomination predictions, and offer up our Will Wins and our Should Wins, as well as the Could Steals that might take things home in a toss-up, Dark Horses not nearly enough people are paying attention to, and at least one or more films that should have been nominated per category (excluding the shorts due to their relative obscurity during the course of the year). BEST DOCUMENTARY SHORT The Nominees:
Will Win: I Am Ready, Warden Could Steal: Incident Dark Horse: The Only Girl in the Orchestra Should Have Been Nominated: N/A While I unfortunately didn’t get an opportunity to see Death by Numbers, initial research indicates that it may not have had a very strong chance of winning this category anyway, despite its deeply complicated subject matter (then again, with my luck, it could end up winning anyway). All signs point to I Am Ready, Warden as the eventual victor in this category, but while I certainly hold the opinion that the imperfect and deeply complex short doc would not be an unworthy winner on the whole, our hearts remain with Instruments of a Beating Heart, which follows a young girl as she overcomes obstacles both mental and emotional, learning alongside maybe the most supportive group of children I’ve ever encountered to take joy in the small triumphs. It may be the simplest of the nominees by a long shot in terms of its subject matter, but that doesn’t mean it’s not also the most effective at telling its story. BEST ANIMATED SHORT The Nominees:
Will Win: Wander to Wonder Could Steal: In the Shadow of the Cypress Dark Horse: Beautiful Men Should Have Been Nominated: N/A All momentum here points to Wander to Wonder winning this category, but given the metaphors present in In the Shadow of the Cypress, I wouldn’t be surprised to see it take home the gold either. In a not particularly strong category this year, either would be a worthy winner. BEST LIVE-ACTION SHORT The Nominees:
Will Win: A Lien Could Steal: The Man Who Could Not Remain Silent Dark Horse: The Last Ranger Should Have Been Nominated: N/A I was admittedly unable to see both The Man Who Could Not Remain Silent and The Last Ranger due to schedule constraints and lack of general availability outside of theaters, and the live-action shorts are always the hardest to find when the Oscars shortlists are first released in December, so I’ll abstain from a “Should Win/Should Have Been Nominated” in this category. That said, I do have a particular favorite of the three I did see, and that’s A Lien, which came along at just the right time in Oscar voting post-inauguration for us to be confident that it can win the category given its subject and the scathing block of text which appears at its end. I wouldn’t be surprised, however, if either The Man Who Could Not Remain Silent or The Last Ranger took the award home, or even if Mindy Kaling and Netflix had enough campaign power with Anuja that none of my current choices actually grabbed the gold. For now, we’ll just have to wait and see. BEST SOUND The Nominees:
Will Win: Dune: Part Two Could Steal: N/A Dark Horse: The Wild Robot Should Have Been Nominated/Shortlisted: Civil War or Furiosa: A Mad Max Saga Despite the presence of no less than three musically-driven movies, this award remains poised to go to Dune: Part Two without a flight of doubt. I did put The Wild Robot in the Dark Horse spot in the unlikely event things go incredibly sideways, but there’s basically no chance of that happening, so if need be, its chances in this category can be entirely disregarded (but its presence here is important for its chances of winning Best Animated Feature). BEST VISUAL EFFECTS The Nominees:
Will Win: Dune: Part Two Could Steal: Kingdom of the Planet of the Apes Dark Horse: Wicked Should Have Been Nominated: Civil War The five selections for VFX this year were almost a done deal before the nominations even happened, so there’s little room for a surprise winner either, given Dune: Part Two’s gargantuan success in both this category and Best Sound up to now with various other guild awards and critics groups. If one film were to take the award away, it should be Kingdom of the Planet of the Apes, especially given the more recent Apes films all lost the award to larger movies released in the same years they were released, but I’d advise caution on underestimating the Academy’s love for Wicked here, so if there is to be an egregious upset, don’t be surprised to see that film at the mic. BEST ORIGNAL SCREENPLAY The Nominees:
Will Win: Sean Baker, Anora Could Steal: Jesse Eisenberg, A Real Pain Dark Horse: Coralie Fargeat, The Substance Should Have Been Nominated: Justin Kuritzkes, Challengers The original screenplay category this year is also more-or-less what was expected, though for some time there was a question of whether Challengers or September 5 would take that fifth slot, or indeed if the Academy would have the stones to nominate a hard-genre body horror extravaganza like The Substance, a subgenre they typically avoid at all costs. The unfortunate consequence of September 5’s presence here is Challengers’ absence, one of too many for this year’s Oscars. The toss-up is between Sean Baker’s Anora and Jesse Eisenberg’s A Real Pain, both written and directed by each of them respectively, and even at this late stage of the race, it’s unknown just how strong each of them is. Anora has the Best Picture momentum behind it, as well as numerous other accolades including a WGA win in this category, but A Real Pain did just take home the Indie Spirit Award and the BAFTA win, so there’s a chance it takes the category after all. Watch out for The Substance, though, especially with the Best Actress momentum it has, and the fact that it got nominated in Picture and Director; body horror may not be the Academy’s thing, but women’s issues and bodily autonomy are, and a win in Best Screenplay at the Cannes film festival doesn’t mean nothing with an increasingly international voting body. BEST ADAPTED SCREENPLAY The Nominees:
Will Win: Peter Straughan, Conclave Could Steal: N/A Dark Horse: RaMell Ross & Joslyn Barnes, Nickel Boys Should Have Been Nominated: Jon Spaihts & Denis Villeneuve, Dune: Part Two This category seems tightly shut, as nothing has yet been able to oust Conclave from a victory in Adapted Screenplay at any awards ceremony for which it was deemed eligible. Its only real challenger would be Nickel Boys, which took home the WGA prize, but even that would be a longshot, as Conclave was not eligible for a WGA nomination due to the organization’s submission rules. I’d be happy to see it go to Sing Sing as well, but given how that film was more or less forgotten by the Academy and its distribution studio’s own marketing department, it’s an even longer shot than Nickel Boys. Still, as long as Emilia Pérez loses here, I’m fine with just about any other winner (though A Complete Unknown – while surprising – would be kind of a boring upset choice). BEST ORIGINAL SONG The Nominees:
Will Win: “El Mal,” Emilia Pérez Could Steal: “Mi Camino,” Emilia Pérez Dark Horse: N/A Should Have Been Nominated/Shortlisted: “Claw Machine,” I Saw the TV Glow This is “El Mal’s” award to lose unfortunately, so it would be foolish to predict an upset from anything in this category except perhaps “Mi Camino,” but even then, it’s highly unlikely that the single scene safeguarding Zoe Saldaña’s eventual Oscar win from slipping away leaves the Dolby empty-handed. This is just one of two awards Emilia Pérez is practically guaranteed this year, and given all the blowback the film has begotten recently, it may be one of only two the Academy will ever be willing to acknowledge. That said, in a weaker field than usual this year for the Oscars’ weakest non-shorts category, “The Journey” provides an opportunity for the Academy to finally reward category mainstay Diane Warren, once and for all ending the need to keep nominating songs from movies far below the Academy’s standard of quality and guaranteeing them Oscars attention. Of course, it helps that it’s one of only two songs in the category I can even remember the main themes to, but really, it would just be a relief not to have to withhold a spot from a more deserving song next year just so Warren can lose a seventeenth time. BEST ORIGINAL SCORE The Nominees:
Will Win: Daniel Blumberg, The Brutalist Could Steal: Volker Bertelmann, Conclave Dark Horse: John Powell & Stephen Schwartz, Wicked Should Have Been Nominated: Trent Reznor & Atticus Ross, Challengers I could rant and rave for hours about Dune: Part Two’s score being rendered ineligible for even a nomination in this category despite Wicked landing a nod, but with Challengers also being egregiously snubbed out of the game despite Trent Reznor & Atticus Ross’ immaculate work, I’ll chalk those two terrible choices up to a desperately needed overhaul of the entire Academy music branch. It seems like a forgone conclusion, in Challengers’ absence, that this award will go to Daniel Blumberg for his incredible symphonic work on The Brutalist (a score by which we now train our cats to wait for breakfast), a well deserved win for easily the best score in this category. There’s an outside chance that Volker Bertelmann could win his second Oscar for Conclave, but realistically speaking, who wouldn’t want to hear those Brutalist overture horns when Blumberg’s name is called? BEST MAKEUP & HAIRSTYLING The Nominees:
Will Win: The Substance Could Steal: N/A Dark Horse: Emilia Pérez Should Have Been Nominated: Dune: Part Two The easiest award to predict of the night by a country mile, there’s no chance anything but The Substance wins here. Perhaps Emilia Pérez could pull off one of the worst upsets in Oscars history, but we wouldn’t bet on it. The real crime here is how the Academy seemed to forget that just because Austin Butler doesn’t have hair in Dune: Part Two doesn’t mean the film’s Makeup & Hairstyling chances are rendered moot. BEST COSTUME DESIGN The Nominees:
Will Win: Paul Tazewell, Wicked Could Steal: N/A Dark Horse: Arianne Phillips, A Complete Unknown Should Have Been Nominated: Jacqueline West, Dune: Part Two Yet another terrible snub for Dune: Part Two, which produced some of the most iconic costume designs in sci-fi history, not the least of which are the Reverend Mothers’ robes and Florence Pugh’s various outfits throughout the film. Perhaps the thinking here is that so much of the primary costuming – namely the stillsuits – was already introduced in Part One that there wasn’t enough new material to garner a nomination, but I digress. In any case, this is Wicked’s award to lose, but would caution readers not to underestimate the Academy’s clear passion for A Complete Unknown, a film with far less elaborate costuming that still captures an iconic era in American music rather well. BEST PRODUCTION DESIGN The Nominees:
Will Win: Nathan Crowley, Wicked Could Steal: Judy Becker, The Brutalist Dark Horse: Craig Lathrop, Nosferatu Should Have Been Nominated: Arthur Max, Gladiator II To be honest, I’m not quite sure why Gladiator II was passed over for Production Design, even if AMPAS doesn’t seem to have a ton of love for it in the first place. Could Conclave’s momentum be such that we all underestimated just how liked it is by most of the Academy? I’d like to see either The Brutalist or Wicked take this award home, as both have some spectacular production design on display, the earlier for period design and the latter for fantasy. Still, Wicked seems to have the edge here, so I’m inclined to predict it, even if an upset by The Brutalist wouldn’t surprise me at all. BEST FILM EDITING The Nominees:
Will Win: Nick Emerson, Conclave Could Steal: Sean Baker, Anora Dark Horse: Dávid Janscó, The Brutalist Should Have Been Nominated: Joe Walker, Dune: Part Two How many times can I see in one predictions piece that Dune: Part Two was egregiously snubbed in almost half the tech categories Part One managed to win for? Joe Walker’s god-tier editing being passed over just so the Academy can over-nominate Emilia Pérez again and again or hand Wicked a nomination it doesn’t deserve should be a criminal offense in all established entertainment law, and I will never forgive the editor’s branch this breach of trust. That said, either Anora or Conclave would be worthy winners, though I would personally prefer the latter, and do believe that it will take home the award, if only due to the larger ones Anora is almost sure to receive later on. BEST CINEMATOGRAPHY The Nominees:
Will Win: Lol Crowley, The Brutalist Could Steal: Jarin Blaschke, Nosferatu Dark Horse: Edward Lachmann, Maria Should Have Been Nominated: Sayombhu Mukdeeprom, Challengers and Jomo Fray, Nickel Boys Once again, what about the cinematography in Emilia Pérez makes it so special that the Academy not only gives it a nomination, but outright ignores Nickel Boys’ novel approach to telling its story, or bypasses the insane creative choices in Challengers altogether? If you’ve watched the film, you already know what the answer is. If you haven’t, here’s the answer: not a damn thing. And despite Greig Fraser’s previous win in this category for Dune Part One, it’s unlikely that this becomes a repeat Oscar with momentum pointing to The Brutalist for a win here. Personally, I’d like to see this go to Nosferatu, which is full of incredible photography, and demonstrates to studios everywhere that you can do nighttime/dark scenes while still being able to see what’s going on; you just have to know how to light your sets. BEST DOCUMENTARY FEATURE The Nominees:
Will Win: No Other Land Could Steal: Porcelain War Dark Horse: Sugarcane Should Have Been Nominated: N/A There are a few documentaries from the shortlists that I have yet to catch up to as of this writing – The Bibi Files, Daughters, Frida, and Porcelain War are the missing pieces, with the last of them being particularly hard to find – but from what I’m able to gather, we may be in for a situation wherein No Other Land, which still lacks U.S. distribution, becomes the winner here, especially due to the amount of abstains Academy members have admitted to giving this category this year, leaving the more passionate documentary viewers with the majority power in the voting. Of course, being too hopeful for a win for that film can be dangerous, especially as Porcelain War did win the DGA for Documentary Filmmaking, and garnered a PGA nomination (although it lost to Super/Man: The Christopher Reeve Story, which did not make the Oscars shortlist). It seems probable that if enough of the Academy simply hasn’t watched No Other Land – or worse, refuses to – Porcelain War could end up taking the victory. It would be neat to see Soundtrack to a Coup d’Etat win here, as it’s my personal favorite doc of the year, but I wouldn’t count on it. BEST INTERNATIONAL FEATURE FILM The Nominees:
Will Win: I’m Still Here (Brazil) Could Steal: Emilia Pérez (France) Dark Horse: N/A Should Have Been Nominated: N/A As I have not gotten to watch all of the International films on the shortlist either, I’m abstaining from picking a “Should Have Been Nominated” in this category, and throwing my weight behind both Flow, which hails from Latvia, and the incredible I'm Still Here, which has the most passionate fanbase for an international film I have seen since Parasite, managing to push it all the way into Best Picture out of seemingly nowhere (pro tip: never underestimate Brazilians). Either would be a worthy winner, but it seems like the latter has all the momentum behind it right now, especially with a Best Actress nomination for Fernanda Torres to show for it. If it can manage a win over Emilia Pérez, I won’t necessarily be shocked, but I will be delighted. BEST ANIMATED FEATURE The Nominees:
Will Win: Flow Could Steal: The Wild Robot Dark Horse: Memoir of a Snail Should Have Been Nominated: Transformers One Let’s be real: Transformers One didn’t have a shot at a nomination here, despite being one of the six or seven best animated films released last year, mostly due to its being ignored basically everywhere up to that point, but that doesn’t mean it wouldn’t have been a worthy contender anyway. Personally, I would have swapped Inside Out 2 for it, but the power of Disney and Pixar is so ubiquitous at this point, I’m already predicting Elio to garner a nomination next year. The Wild Robot’s reach is so long I’m not sure Flow's chances are quite enough to overcome DreamWorks’ most popular and beloved animated film in over a decade, but The Friendly Film Fan is a place for hope, so at the risk of an imperfect below-the-line ballot, I'm predicting that as a small upset (plus, it does give the Academy a chance to acknowledge international animation outside of the Shorts categories, which isn't nothing). To be clear, I’d be fine with either of them winning, but the themes in Flow put it a step above for me personally, and I’d love to see that little black cat get some well-deserved love for navigating its complex ideas so beautifully. BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR The Nominees:
Will Win: Kieran Culkin, A Real Pain Could Steal: N/A Dark Horse: Edward Norton, A Complete Unknown Should Have Been Nominated: Clarence Maclin, Sing Sing For a minute, it didn’t seem as though that fifth spot in this category had any concrete candidate. Jonathan Bailey landed the SAG nod, but so did Jeremy Strong, whereas Guy Pearce was the one who missed out for his work in The Brutalist, so which would prevail with the Academy? Then, just before nominations were due to be announced, there was a slight surge in momentum for The Apprentice, bolstered by the increasingly international Academy, and widening the voting field of view yielded slightly different results to come up with a five I was comfortable with, despite knowing that meant Clarence Maclin would get unfairly passed over for his incredible performance in Sing Sing. Personally, I think Pearce or Strong should be walking away with this, but it’s a foregone conclusion after his awards season sweep that Kieran Culkin will bring A Real Pain its only guaranteed award of the night. It’s a terrific performance in an otherwise just pretty great movie, but I just find myself more impressed with the ones I already mentioned (apart from Jonathan Bailey). BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS The Nominees:
Will Win: Zoe Saldaña, Emilia Pérez Could Steal: N/A Dark Horse: Monica Barbaro, A Complete Unknown Should Have Been Nominated: Aunjanue Ellis-Taylor, Nickel Boys or Margaret Qualley, The Substance Nominations in Best Supporting Actress weren’t easy to predict. Would the Academy forget about Felicity Jones due to not watching the second half of The Brutalist? Did Isabelle Rossellini have enough impact in her short amount of screen time to stick in voters’ minds? Could Monica Barbaro become to first member of Top Gun: Maverick’s supporting cast to garner a performance Oscar nomination following that film’s release? We all got our answers once the nominees were announced, but it is a shame that at least one or two of those answers came at the expense of both Aunjanue Ellis-Taylor’s soulful work in Nickel Boys and Margaret Qualley’s career-best work in The Substance. Either would have been a worthy contender in this category, but just like with Best Supporting Actor, the awards season clean sweep is sure to culminate in Zoe Saldaña taking home the award for being the only part of Emilia Pérez actually worth any Oscar nominations at all (and we can all still pretend it’s actually for her work as Neytiri in the Avatar films). BEST ACTOR The Nominees:
Will Win: Adrien Brody, The Brutalist Could Steal: Timothée Chalamet, A Complete Unknown Dark Horse: Sebastian Stan, The Apprentice Should Have Been Nominated: N/A While Timothée Chalamet did end up taking home the SAG award for Best Actor for his portrayal of Bob Dylan in A Complete Unknown, voting for the Oscars had already closed by the time that ceremony aired, so his true-to-self, frank speech wouldn’t have won over any voters despite how refreshing it likely was for actors to hear one of their own state that actually, he is trying to be counted among the greats. It’s not impossible that Chalamet is that film’s sole win of the night, especially not with the press run he’s been on lately (one of the all-time great press runs in recent memory for a single performer) and the fact that he’d be the youngest winner ever – breaking the record set by fellow nominee Adrien Brody in 2003 – but this new Academy has been showing us since Olivia Colman’s surprise Best Actress win back in 2019 that it doesn’t necessarily care what precedent or narrative works best, or even whether someone’s won an Oscar already (remember Emma Stone last year?). Brody’s performance is simply undeniable, his best since he won in 2003 for The Pianist, and I find it highly unlikely that the A.I. accent non-troversy actually affected many Academy members who were planning on voting for him anyway. Still, in a toss-up where both candidates end up cancelling each other’s votes, watch out for Sebastian Stan’s banner year to sneak in a major upset here, if there is to be one at all. BEST ACTRESS The Nominees:
Will Win: Demi Moore, The Substance Could Steal: Mikey Madison, Anora or Fernanda Torres, I’m Still Here Dark Horse: N/A Should Have Been Nominated: Marianne Jean-Baptiste, Hard Truths Not only should Marianne Jean-Baptiste be nominated in this category, she should be in the lead for a win (and if you read our 2025 Friendly Film Fan Awards, you know true justice was done there). Personally, I’d be okay with either Mikey Madison or Demi Moore taking this one, and with her SAG award in hand, it looks like Demi Moore is finally going to get her flowers (though don’t be shocked if Mikey Madison’s BAFTA win comes in handy here). There’s not really a Dark Horse candidate in this race anymore what with the brand-new controversies Karla Sofía Gascón seems to hand the Emilia Pérez PR team every other day, but if Fernanda Torres managed to capture a split-vote decision up the middle to take the stage, I wouldn’t be the least bit surprised. She is incredible in I’m Still Here, and it would be just as worthy a win as the other two likely candidates. BEST DIRECTOR The Nominees:
Will Win: Sean Baker, Anora Could Steal: Brady Corbet, The Brutalist Dark Horse: James Mangold, A Complete Unknown Should Have Been Nominated: Denis Villeneuve, Dune: Part Two The Academy has snubbed Denis Villeneuve in Best Director for his Dune films in favor of far less worthy candidates twice. Let’s read that again. The Academy Awards has snubbed Denis Villeneuve in Best Director for his Dune films in favor of far less worthy candidates…TWICE. At this point, I’m expecting them to blank out on nominations for Dune: Messiah altogether. Regardless, Brady Corbet should be winning this award for bringing such an extraordinary vision to life on such a small budget with such an epic scope, and there’s a small chance he still does take the win in a split Director/Picture ceremony, as the Academy has been known to do more than a few times recently. However, with the DGA win having gone to Sean Baker for his direction of Anora, and given his star has finally risen to the mainstream, it seems likely that the Academy will finally “anoint” him with a win here not only for that film but for his body of work up to now, the same way they did Christopher Nolan last year despite his already having major mainstream success beforehand. Still, the real point of this category is that the Academy has snubbed Denis Villeneuve in Best Director for his Dune films in favor of far less worthy candidates…twice. (Also, who did Luca Guadagnino piss off at AMPAS to get both of his films this year and all of his films since Call Me By Your Name completely ignored in every category?) BEST PICTURE The Nominees:
Will Win: Anora Could Steal: The Brutalist or Conclave Dark Horse: A Complete Unknown Should Have Been Nominated: Sing Sing There are more than a few worthy contenders in Best Picture this year, give or take an Emilia Pérez stinking up the whole row, but with its PGA victory well in hand, Anora seems poised to take this win all the way to the finish line. Personally, I would like to see The Brutalist take it, and wouldn’t be surprised to see Conclave slowly crawl its way to a win here, but given Edward Berger was left out of Best Director, without an ensemble award to anchor it, the only way it could achieve success would be to pull a Spotlight, winning only Screenplay and Picture – tough, but not impossible, especially with its recent wins at SAG and BAFTA. The most interesting wins in terms of what Best Picture means to the filmmaking world as a whole and the doors those wins would open would come from a victory for Nickel Boys or The Substance, but the latter is still an unusual thing for the Academy to nominated in the first place, and the former barely squeaked in with only an Adapted Screenplay nomination to its name outside of this field. Even an I’m Still Here win would make for a rather interesting result, as it would indicate that the internationality of the Academy is far stronger than previously thought. All that said, Sing Sing’s absence from this field is a travesty, especially considering more than a few Academy members have outright admitted to simply not having watched it at all. In any just world, it wouldn’t simply be a nominee, it would be a Moonlight-esque nominee with a real shot at taking down the big candidates for a surprise win. Alas, A24 dropped the ball on its release; a summer window may have actually helped it stay in the conversation. And those are our predictions for the 97th Annual Academy Awards! What are you predicting to take home the gold? Anything you’re hoping pulls off an upset? Let us know in the comments section below, and thanks for reading!
- The Friendly Film Fan by Jacob Jones If you’ve been following the 2025 Oscar race for any amount of time, you’ve likely heard pundits and critics such as myself decree this season as some form of “unpredictable,” “chaotic,” or “completely up in the air.” Not only have these terms been used to describe the race itself, they’ve also been used to describe – at one point or another – almost every category that race encompasses, from Best Animated Feature to Best Actress in a Leading Role to Best Picture itself. With the Golden Globes offering key support in some surprise areas like Best Actress – for which Fernanda Torres won in the Drama category – as well as handing Best Animated Feature to Janus Films’ Flow and Best Original Score to Challengers, momentum began to shift every which way, ultimately culminating in the Oscar nominations, which included both Torres in Best Actress, as well as multi-category nominee Flow in Best Animated and Best International Feature, though Challengers unfortunately score no nominations itself. The international branch of both the Golden Globes and AMPAS also managed to push Sebastian Stan and Jeremy Strong to nominations for their film The Apprentice, beating out more domestic favorites like Daniel Craig for his role in Queer and SAG nominee Jonathan Bailey, who plays Prince Fiyero in Wicked. Still, even with the Oscar nominations in place, it remained – for a time – entirely unclear who exactly the front-runners were. Would The Brutalist triumph in all expected categories despite its minor AI controversy? Would international behemoth Emilia Pérez survive the eventual onslaught of foot-shooting racism its star and campaign focus tweeted out or spoke aloud without the studio or filmmakers’ prior approval? Was Anora’s lack of an intimacy coordinator as much of a scandal to industry voters as it was to Film Twitter? It seems, for most questions raised by the race to this point, we may finally have some answers (though none have as yet been etched in gold). PGA, DGA, and WGA The PGA and DGA Awards were held on the same date, February 8, mere miles from one another, both giving their top prizes to Anora, the former for Outstanding Producer of Theatrical Motion Pictures and the latter for Best Director of a Feature Film, which was given to Sean Baker. The Producers’ Guild also named The Wild Robot as the Best Produced Animated Feature of the year, and gave its Outstanding Documentary Production win to Super/Man: The Christopher Reeve Story, which also took home the BAFTA for Best Documentary despite not even being shortlisted for the Academy Awards or nominated at the DGAs. The Directors Guild instead put their support behind directors Brendan Bellomo and Slava Leontyev for their Ukraine doc Porcelain War, which follows the experience of artists in the country during the current Russian occupation. RaMell Ross was also awarded Best First-Time Feature Film for his adaptation of Nickel Boys, despite the not his first as a director (he was previously Oscar nominated in 2019 in Best Documentary Feature for his actual directing debut, Hale County This Morning, This Evening). Ross was not amongst the Best Directing nominees for this year’s Oscars, though the film did manage to secure nominations for Best Adapted Screenplay and Best Picture. As to the WGAs (which were held on Feb 15), while there were a great number of disqualified films which did not meet the requirements for a nomination – Emilia Pérez, The Substance, and Conclave among them – the winner selections nonetheless did give yet another boost to Anora in Original Screenplay, though A Real Pain is certainly still in play for the Oscar, and Nickel Boys’ Adapted Screenplay victory is unlikely to triumph with AMPAS over Conclave’s all-but-certain dominance in the category. BAFTAs, Indie Spirits, and SAG Moving on to slightly less consequential ceremonies (save for one), the BAFTAs and the Indie Spirit Awards both yielded some surprise wins on the whole, seemingly splitting two Oscar narratives – one for Conclave and one for Anora – right down the middle, with each film taking home Best Picture from those awards bodies, respectively. Lead actress Mikey Madison and director Sean Baker also picked up Indie Spirit wins in their respective categories, with Madison’s being a repeat of her win at the BAFTAs. Madison wasn’t the only repeat contender, however, as Jesse Eisenberg managed to snag both a BAFTA and an Indie Spirit win for the Screenplay to his film A Real Pain, giving a major boost to his chances at taking home the Oscar in the Best Original Screenplay category. Of course, Adrien Brody picked up another Best Actor win for his work in The Brutalist, a film for which the BAFTAs awarded Brady Corbet its Best Director prize, though Best Casting went to Anora. Still, a running narrative began to emerge that ultimately culminated at the SAG Awards, which streamed live on Netflix last night: don’t underestimate the power of the papacy. (Or, rather, watch out for Conclave). There were some not entirely unexpected surprises at the SAG Awards, chiefly that Timothée Chalamet became the youngest winner ever for Best Actor in a Leading Role in a Motion Picture, thus placing his stamp firmly on the race against Adrien Brody for the Oscar, and this wasn’t the only confirmation of an honest-to-god race in an ultra-competitive Oscar category. Demi Moore also took home the SAG Award for Best Actress in a Leading Role in a Motion Picture for her work in Coralie Fargeat’s body horror sensation The Substance, putting her neck and neck with Mikey Madison for an Oscar win this coming Sunday. In fact, the only certainties in above-the-line categories for this year’s Oscars come in the form of Supporting sweeps, those being for Kieran Culkin (A Real Pain) and Zoë Saldaña (Emilia Pérez), both of whom have yet to lose a major award for which they were nominated in the lead-up to the big night. And of course, at the evening’s end, Conclave was awarded Best Ensemble Cast in a Motion Picture, essentially the “Best Picture” prize of the SAG Awards, besting Anora (and leaving that film SAG-less, only the third film after Brokeback Mountain and The Hurt Locker to be so after netting PGA, DGA, and WGA wins.) While it seems unlikely that Conclave’s BAFTA/SAG victory has enough steam this late in the race to conquer Anora’s PGA/DGA/WGA-winning conquest for Best Picture at the Oscars, especially with Oscar voting having closed before the SAG Awards took place, the overall unpredictability of this award’s season indicates that there is one cinematic sin we must fear above all others: certainty. The Oscars will air live on ABC and stream on Hulu on Sunday, March 2 at 7:00 p.m. EST. - The Friendly Film Fan by Jacob Jones Well, that was pretty crazy, wasn’t it? Of course, what couldn’t be crazy about the 2025 Oscar Nominations? It’s the Oscars; they thrive on crazy! All jokes aside, now that the Academy has finally unveiled their nominees for the Best in Film of 2024, it’s time to break open that pandora’s box and examine all the surprises and disappointments it holds. To start, the absolute disrespect towards Dune: Part Two by AMPAS’ choice to leave it out of Adapted Screenplay, Makeup & Hairstyling, Costume Design, Film Editing, and of course, Director, is an absurdity I will not stand for. The first film was nominated for 10 Oscars, winning 6, but an even better follow-up only gets half that recognition? I mean, I’m aware of what happened with Empire Strikes Back, but I didn’t think this new Academy was doing the same old song and dance by ignoring sci-fi and giving into such blatant recency bias. More to the point, though, Challengers receiving 0 nominations is a genuine outrage, especially in Best Original Score, in which Wicked seemed to take its place (and I can’t even begin to describe how irritating that is from a musical standpoint). Among other disappointments were Clarence Maclin missing Best Supporting Actor despite its unlikelihood, which indicated early that Sing Sing could likely miss Best Picture (thank you A24 for messing the release strategy up so spectacularly), and of course Emilia Pérez running the table with no less than 13 nominations to its name. The morning was not without its pleasant surprises, however as twenty-one of my wildcard picks – many of them hopefuls – did end up landing nominations in their respective categories, including Nickel Boys in Best Adapted Screenplay, Alien: Romulus is Best Visual Effects, and both Sugarcane and Soundtrack to a Coup d’Etat in Best Documentary Feature. Also, as it turns out, I was right to trust my instincts on a few things, namely that the international contingent of the Academy would show strong support for Sebastian Stan in The Apprentice (for which Jeremy Strong also received a nomination in Best Supporting Actor), and Flow – which comes to us from Latvia – would ultimately land nominations in both Animated Feature and International Feature. I also correctly predicted that September 5 would receive the fifth spot in the Best Original Screenplay category, and that Edward Lachmann would receive Maria’s lone nomination in Cinematography. By far the morning’s biggest surprise, however, came at the tail end of the announcement when the words “I’m Still Here” were read out amongst the nominees. Having not yet seen the film, I can’t comment on whether this is a pleasant or an unpleasant surprise, but it does re-enforce the one consistent thing about this entire awards season: how chaotic and distinctly inconsistent it has always been. Word to the wise: never underestimate the Brazilians, who not only catapulted I’m Still Here into the Best Picture category, but also secured a Best Actress nomination for Fernanda Torres’ work in the film. She now joins her mother, Fernanda Montenegro, who was previously nominated in the same category for her work in Central Station, which was nominated for Best Foreign Language Film at the 71st Academy Awards. It would seem now that she, and not Mikey Madison as had previously been thought, is the primary challenger to Demi Moore, whose Best Actress nomination for The Substance is just one of that film’s five (including Best Picture and Best Director for Coralie Fargeat). All told, the ups and downs of these awards races are sure going to be a roller-coaster ride all the way to the finish line when the Oscars air live on ABC and stream for the first time on Hulu on March 2nd. A full list of the 2025 Oscar nominees is below. BEST PICTURE The Nominees:
BEST DIRECTOR The Nominees:
BEST ACTRESS The Nominees:
BEST ACTOR The Nominees:
BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS The Nominees:
BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR The Nominees:
BEST ANIMATED FEATURE The Nominees:
BEST INTERNATIONAL FEATURE FILM The Nominees:
BEST DOCUMENTARY FEATURE The Nominees:
The Nominees:
BEST FILM EDITING The Nominees:
BEST PRODUCTION DESIGN The Nominees:
BEST COSTUME DESIGN The Nominees:
BEST MAKEUP & HAIRSTYLING The Nominees:
BEST ORIGINAL SCORE The Nominees:
BEST ORIGINAL SONG The Nominees:
BEST ADAPTED SCREENPLAY The Nominees:
BEST ORIGNAL SCREENPLAY The Nominees:
BEST VISUAL EFFECTS The Nominees:
BEST SOUND The Nominees:
BEST LIVE-ACTION SHORT The Nominees:
BEST ANIMATED SHORT The Nominees:
BEST DOCUMENTARY SHORT The Nominees:
What do you think of these nominations? Anything you’re surprised to see or find absent? Any choices that delight you? Enrage you? Let us know in the comments section below, and thanks for reading!
- The Friendly Film Fan by Jacob Jones On Tuesday, the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) unveiled their shortlists for ten below-the-line categories at the 97th Oscars, revealing which films voters had selected as finalists for a nomination in each. Shortlists are a hallowed tradition for the Academy’s voting body and for awards prognosticators, who use these lists as a means of more accurately predicting what will be competing for those coveted gold statues come January. Wicked and Emilia Pérez were the big winners of the day, taking up 4 and 6 shortlist spots each in a strong bid for both movie musicals from Universal Pictures and Netflix. Though there were no major surprises in most categories, a few inclusions (and exclusions) stood out amongst the rest. Notably, Hans Zimmer’s score for Dune: Part Two was deemed ineligible for competition by AMPAS’ music branch – who determined that it contained too much previously published music to be considered original to the film – but the score for Wicked, which adapts Act One of the iconic Broadway musical for the silver screen, does make an appearance in the Original Score shortlist (which includes 20 shortlisted competitors, the most in any category), leaving awards pundits scratching their heads about how it remains eligible, given that much of the music seems to find its origins in the stage version. Other surprises included Alien: Romulus showing up not only in Visual Effects, but also in Sound and Original Score (two categories it was not expected to be competitive in), as well as the film Waltzing with Brando sneaking into the Makeup & Hairstyling lineup for its transformation of Billy Zane into the titular movie icon. Even the corpse of the ill-fated Joker: Folie à Deux managed to eek out a single nod in Best Sound. On the losing side, the unfortunately underseen Furiosa: A Mad Max Saga – George Miller’s follow-up prequel to six-time Oscar winner Mad Max: Fury Road – went entirely ignored, missing key chances to remind Oscar voters and viewers of its potential as an awards contender in the craft categories. Less similarly, though still notably, Alex Garland’s Civil War landed a shortlist spot in Best Visual Effects, but not Best Sound, where most awards pundits had predicted it could appear given that the sound editing in the film is frequently lauded as its greatest accomplishment. The Golden Globe-nominated Miley Cyrus song “Beautiful That Way,” which appears in The Last Showgirl, missed the cut for its designated category as well, in a swift reversal to its new awards season momentum, leaving at least one more chance for Kneecap’s “Sick in the Head” to make a surprise appearance. All in all, however, despite the shortlists’ miscarriages of justice towards George Miller and company, they remain full of strong contenders, any number of whom would be worthy of a nomination come announcement morning. A full list of the 2025 Oscar Shortlists appears below. Best Documentary Feature:
Best Documentary Short:
Best International Feature:
Best Makeup & Hairstyling:
Best Original Score:
Best Original Song:
Best Animated Short:
Best Live-Action Short:
Best Sound:
Best Visual Effects:
What do you think of these shortlists? Are there any films you’re surprised made an appearance? Any you’re shocked or disappointed are missing? Let us know in the comments section below, and thanks for reading! - The Friendly Film Fan *"Forbidden Road," from Better Man, has been disqualified from Oscar competition. Its inclusion here is reflective of its appearance in the original iteration of these shortlists.
By Jacob Jones The act of adaptation can be a particularly tricky line to walk; stray too far from the source material one is adapting, and your product is either regarded as a failure by those familiar with such material, or a triumph by those who deemed it too bland to be interesting on its own. On the other hand, stay too faithful to the story being told, and the adaptation becomes traditionally boring, wherein the lack of alterations to a tale whose origins are mediocre at best then reinforce that mediocrity as it appears on screen. The most audacious adaptations – The Godfather, Arrival, No Country for Old Men, Killers of the Flower Moon, etc. – elevate their source material (regardless of how good it already was on its own) to new heights by switching up approaches, changing plot details so as to make them more accessible to a wider range of people, and filtering all of the character details found in book pages through exceptional performances by remarkably skillful actors and masterful direction. But not every adaptation can reach the same heights, and sometimes all one needs for an adaptation to be successful is a faithful approach to quality source material. This is where Conclave comfortably sits.
Based on the book of the same name by Thomas Harris, Conclave’s story finds its center in Ralph Fiennes’ Cardinal Lawrence, who – in the wake of the Pope’s unfortunate death – is charged with running a new Conclave in which all eligible Cardinals will vote to select the Holy Father’s successor. Once one Cardinal receives a two-thirds majority of the vote, that person will become the new Pope, and the face of universal church. Sometimes these elections can take mere hours; sometimes they take days, and with no less than three front-runners making plays for the throne, anything can happen. With the world and the church’s place in it on the brink of total collapse, it is imperative that the Conclave swiftly and decisively select the right representative, both for God, and for the millions of faithful around the globe. This film also stars Stanley Tucci, John Lithgow, and Isabella Rossellini. How films like Conclave land for someone is all about the approach to watching it. If you go in blind, you’re likely to have a greater reaction to its myriad of plot turns and twists, but you’re also less likely to forgive how the film essentially skips getting to know its characters on a personal level, apart from their individual interactions with Cardinal Lawrence, whom the film is content to have the audience become familiar with through Ralph Fiennes’ layered, deeply understated performance. Having finished Harris’ book mere hours before seeing the film for the first time, I was able to pinpoint in Fiennes’ eyes where all of the character’s internal thoughts came through in the story as outlined in the original text, but for those who haven’t read it, I would imagine that this is a difficult element to understand without any sort of clue given by the film itself. Fiennes is such a skilled actor that in order to play this part right, it requires an almost anti-theatricality, and he nails every beat perfectly, if one knows where to look for them. The same could be applied to both John Lithgow and Stanley Tucci’s characters as well, although we do get to know them more thoroughly through conversations, whereas with Lawrence, the audience is left to simply accept whatever it is about him they can glean from his subtler demeanor. As for Rossellini, while she does feature in one terrific scene towards the third act of the film, the rest of her performance is largely hidden by the needs of the plot, relegating her to more of a background character than a genuine supporting player most of the time. To assuage any doubts that may have arisen: Conclave is a good movie. It’s well-mounted, the no-frills approach to adapting the book works, and all of the performances are played at exactly the right pitch for the story being told. While some of its production elements can feel a tad formulaic at times, they serve their respective purposes in making the story feel coherent, dramatic, and occasionally quite funny, and there are moments of genuine greatness among them, particularly in the cinematography and the costume designs. But herein lies my question: is Conclave a good movie only because the book it’s based on is a good story? Berger’s approach to viewing the Conclave less like the most important thing that could ever occur in a religious sector of the world and more like an overly gossipy workplace meeting that we seem to be in on imbues the film with a sense of fun it may otherwise have lacked, but given its near one-to-one translation from the source material, how much of that credit can be truly given to Berger, and how much goes to Harris’ original text? For me, most of it goes to Harris. Berger is a skilled filmmaker, as evidence by Netflix’s adaptation of All Quiet on the Western Front in 2022, but if one is going to adapt books as famous as those Berger has helmed thus far, every production element needs to be firing on all cylinders in order to elevate the director above the material he chooses. As it stands, Conclave is the sort of movie I wish we had twenty of every year. A gripping mystery, told by skilled filmmakers, with some of the best performers in the world chewing the scenery as though they’d not eaten since their last screen test. Even without the level of craftsmanship it would need to be truly competitive in most awards categories (and with one book scene missing that I feel would have elevated it beyond just being very good), it’s a delightfully fun time at the movies, and it’s nice to see that the mid-budget thriller driven by dialogue and character, rather than spectacle, is making a handsome comeback. I’m giving “Conclave” a 7.8/10 - The Friendly Film Fan The Friendly Film Fan Selects What Will and What Should Win at the 96th Academy Awards Well, folks, that time has finally arrived, as the Oscars are nearly upon us. After a long and winding road through strikes, delays, and production setbacks, the awards season is due to come to an end (which wouldn’t be so exhausting if the Academy would just move the Oscars back to February, but that’s another piece). As of tomorrow, the Academy will have unveiled what they voted on as the best of the best in movies in 2023, so this is the last chance we’ve got at predicting what exactly their tastes line up to be. Of course, we have our own picks in each category, whether it’s something we believe should be taking home the gold or something that should have been nominated in the first place, as well as Dark Horse candidates not enough people are worrying about and secondary guesses in more competitive races. It all comes to a head tonight, so once more, here are our predictions for the winners at the 96th Annual Academy Awards! BEST DOCUMENTARY SHORT The Nominees:
Will Win: The ABCs of Book Banning Could Steal: Nǎi Nai & Wài Pó Dark Horse: Island in Between Should Have Been Nominated: Last Song from Kabul It’s a strange thing to have the only non-publicly-screened category in the Oscar Shorts races be the most accessible of all three, and yet for Best Documentary Short, we were able to see all but two of fifteen shortlisted films (the missing two being Bear and Wings of Dust). To that end, we feel as if we’ve got a pretty good handle on this category, which makes it a bit disappointing that what is easily the weakest of the shorts – The ABCs of Book Banning – is most likely to take home the award at the end of the night. In a just world, The Last Repair Shop would walk away with this in a landslide, but we could also see an argument for the thoroughly charming Nǎi Nai & Wài Pó as well. In any case, many of the doc shorts this year were quite good, and the ones that weren’t…mostly didn’t make it this far anyway. BEST ANIMATED SHORT The Nominees:
Will Win: War Is Over! Inspired by the Music of John & Yoko Could Steal: Ninety-Five Senses Dark Horse: Our Uniform Should Have Been Nominated: N/A As we have been unable to find or view Our Uniform and War Is Over!, we are abstaining from picking a “Should Win” in this category, but in all likelihood, the win will go to the latter of these two shorts. There is a small chance that the widely-supported Ninety-Five Senses could swoop in for the win, but it seems unlikely this late in the race. Watch out for Our Uniform, though. While we were not able to view it in its entirety, the style of animation present in the trailers for it display world-class creativity in the medium, and could appeal to voters who like their animation a little more unconventionally rendered. BEST LIVE-ACTION SHORT The Nominees:
Will Win: The Wonderful Story of Henry Sugar Could Steal: Red, White and Blue Dark Horse: Knight of Fortune Should Have Been Nominated: N/A The second of the two shorts categories we were able to actually watch all the nominees for, Best Live-Action Short is stacked with really interesting and fun work (with one notable exception). The Wonderful Story of Henry Sugar has everything it needs to win the night, including the invitation to give an Oscar to the great Wes Anderson, who has bafflingly remained winless to this point. That said, we would really like this one to go to Invincible, a wonderfully-told and poignant story paying touching tribute to a life lost too soon. If anything is likely to steal Henry Sugar’s thunder, however, it would seem to be abortion drama Red, White and Blue, which is very well-told, but perhaps a bit too theme-forward in the narrative. Knight of Fortune, a surprisingly funny and touching story of a man mourning his deceased wife, could burst through in a split vote between the prior two films, but as with Ninety-Five Senses in the previous category, it seems – at best – unlikely. If by some curse The After wins, we should all answer to God; it is by far the worst in the category, and its nomination here is baffling. BEST SOUND The Nominees:
Will Win: The Zone of Interest Could Steal: Oppenheimer Dark Horse: Maestro Should Have Been Nominated: The Killer There are one or two “no guts, no glory” predictions – what we call “hope-dictions” we’re going to make this year, the first of which is in Best Sound. While it is entirely possible that Oppenheimer runs the table in nearly every nominated category, Best Sound is one we think should and ultimately will go to Jonathan Glazer’s The Zone of Interest, a film in which the sound design is not only the best in the category, but the topic of conversation surrounding the film’s overall quality. You can’t talk to someone who’s seen Zone of Interest without the sound design coming up as the thing that most strikes the viewer. That said, Oppenheimer’s sound is almost just as excellent, and it’s likely to win many of the night’s below-the-line races; this could just be one of them. While the rest of the nominees also have good to great sound design (The Creator in particular has excellent sound – think of the bridge scene), it would have been nice to see The Killer nominated in the category. BEST VISUAL EFFECTS The Nominees:
Will Win: The Creator Could Steal: Godzilla Minus One Dark Horse: Mission: Impossible – Dead Reckoning Part One Should Have Been Nominated: Spider-Man: Across the Spider-Verse This is a two-horse race if ever there was one. While many believe that Godzilla Minus One’s enormous popularity may sway most international voters (of which the Academy has added many in recent years) towards the side of the atomic lizard, The Creator has not missed a visual effects award to date, and is widely viewed by the VFX industry as revolutionary to the practice. For our money, we do think that the Academy may ultimately decide the nomination itself is enough for Minus One’s representation and instead reward The Creator in this category. Even with all of that, however, it’s a shame that the exemplary work on display in Across the Spider-Verse couldn’t break the stigma of the effects being part of an animated film. BEST ORIGNAL SCREENPLAY The Nominees:
Will Win: Arthur Harari and Justine Triet, Anatomy of a Fall Could Steal: N/A Dark Horse: David Hemingson, The Holdovers Should Have Been Nominated: N/A This seemed like The Holdovers’ award to take for a while, even while Past Lives fans (including myself) tend to posit that that screenplay is far superior. However, momentum – and not undeserved momentum at that – has seemed to swing the way of Justine Triet for her and Arthur Harari’s ace screenwriting in the excellent Anatomy of a Fall, which would be a worthy win in any year. If there were another film – apart from Past Lives – that we felt deserved more recognition, it’s May December, the screenplay for which is exceptionally witty, insightful, and biting in its more satirical elements. Frankly, May December should have been nominated in far more categories…but we’ll get to that. BEST ADAPTED SCREENPLAY The Nominees:
Will Win: Cord Jefferson, American Fiction Could Steal: Christopher Nolan, Oppenheimer Dark Horse: Jonathan Glazer, The Zone of Interest Should Have Been Nominated: Eric Roth and Martin Scorsese, Killers of the Flower Moon While it is a bummer that Killers of the Flower Moon was snubbed in this category – especially as it is a genuine feat of adaptation from its more true-crime style source material – the category itself remains exceptionally strong. The most likely winner looks to be Cord Jefferson for his debut feature, American Fiction, which would be a good win, even if we didn’t personally think some elements beyond the script ultimately landed the way the film clearly wanted them to. What we’d ultimately prefer to see, however, is a win for Christopher Nolan in this category; Oppenheimer’s screenplay – written by Nolan in the first person – is so clear regarding everything the audience and the characters are meant to be experiencing in such a tightly-wound piece that one could call it miraculous the whole thing doesn’t come off as one convoluted mess. That’s deserving of recognition, even if Barbie somewhat pulls off the same trick to a lesser extent. BEST ORIGINAL SONG The Nominees:
Will Win: “What Was I Made For?,” Barbie Could Steal: “I’m Just Ken,” Barbie Dark Horse: “It Never Went Away,” American Symphony Should Have Been Nominated/Shortlisted: “Camp Isn’t Home,” Theater Camp If this category is to continue at the Academy Awards, they’ll need to do more than just hand Diane Warren a nomination every year for an either actively bad or at least not very good movie. While I didn’t predict “It Never Went Away” being nominated (even though I really should have; I mean, c’mon, Jon Batiste’s name is right there), the presence of “The Fire Inside” in this category felt inevitable in a way that takes the fun out of what else could go here. The obvious conclusion is that one of the two Barbie songs nominated will ultimately end up winning, and either way, they’ll be worthy wins…but it should go to I’m Just Ken. The real bummer here is that the incredibly creative work on display in Theater Camp didn’t even have a shot, as none of the songs were shortlisted for the category. Still, the inclusion of “Wahzhazhe (A Song for My People),” is inspired. BEST ORIGINAL SCORE The Nominees:
Will Win: Ludwig Göransson, Oppenheimer Could Steal: N/A Dark Horse: Laura Karpman, American Fiction Should Have Been Nominated: Daniel Pemberton, Spider-Man: Across the Spider-Verse We’ve already written and spoken at length about the heinous snub of Daniel Pemberton’s score for Spider-Man: Across the Spider-Verse here, so we won’t belabor that point except to say that we have listened to all five scores, and while the first two listed in the category work well enough for their own purposes (American Fiction in particular is fairly underrated as 2023’s scores go), we’re still not sure we would have included them here over things like the aforementioned Spider-Verse or composer Joe Hisaishi’s soulful melodies for one of our other favorite animated works last year, The Boy and the Heron. All that said, as with many categories, this has been Oppenheimer’s award from the jump, as Ludwig Göransson catapults himself into the upper echelon any and all film composers working today. Of course, we love the late Robbie Robertson’s wonderful compositions for Killers of the Flower Moon, and Poor Things’ score feels as eclectic and off-kilter as the movie itself, but there’s a power behind Oppenheimer’s score that feels simply undeniable. It’s simultaneously new yet classical, always tense yet also filled with a knowing dread. There’s nothing else like it this year and there’s unlikely to be anything else like it in the years to come. It will be a well-deserved second win for Göransson (he previously won this category for Black Panther in 2018). BEST MAKEUP & HAIRSTYLING The Nominees:
Will Win: Maestro Could Steal: Poor Things Dark Horse: Society of the Snow Should Have Been Nominated: N/A One of the more tenuous categories of the evening, Best Makeup & Hairstyling seems to be poised for a one-time-only win in Maestro’s favor, but it’s not as clear a victory as some may have you believe. Poor Things, too, boasts some excellent prosthetic work and late-breaking Netflix survival hit Society of the Snow does a lot with its makeup to convey just how brutal the conditions of the Uruguayan football team become after so long on the mountain. Our one brag here – as much of a brag as it can be for such a middle-of-the-road movie – is that we actually saw Golda in theaters, so we knew it was likely going to be appearing here. BEST COSTUME DESIGN The Nominees:
Will Win: Jacqueline Durran, Barbie Could Steal: Holly Waddington, Poor Things Dark Horse: David Crossman and Janty Yates, Napoleon Should Have Been Nominated: Stacey Battat, Priscilla The next two categories are a two-horse race between the same two films. Both Barbie and Poor Things boast excellent design work in virtually every department, and their near-equal proximity to a win in either race makes it fairly likely they could split votes here, with Costume Design going to Barbie for Jacqueline Durran’s perfect recreations of all the titular doll’s iconic outfits. If one keeps in mind that Little Women’s costume design (also by Jacqueline Durran) was so strong it managed to still pull off that film’s only Oscar win, the notion of Barbie taking this seems much more likely. BEST PRODUCTION DESIGN The Nominees:
Will Win: Shona Heath and James Price, Poor Things Could Steal: Sarah Greenwood, Barbie Dark Horse: Arthur Max, Napoleon Should Have Been Nominated: Adam Stockhausen, Asteroid City or Chris Oddy, The Zone of Interest Going the other way in the Barbie vs. Poor Things double-header, we’re fairly confident that the split vote will ultimately result in Poor Things taking the award designated for more overall design work. The sets and environments created by Shona Heath and James Price in Poor Things feel not only like the best way to fully realize the world set by the novel, but somehow the only possible way it ever could have looked. While Barbie’s production design is excellent – especially in its imagination of Barbieland – it doesn’t quite give off the same feeing, especially as it does have at least some previously realized visual material to pull from. The real question, however, is this: how the hell does Asteroid City not even land in this category? Regardless of how one feels about the film, it is impeccably designed and staged. Oh well, at least Wes Anderson will likely still have an Oscar at the end of the night. BEST FILM EDITING The Nominees:
Will Win: Jennifer Lame, Oppenheimer Could Steal: N/A Dark Horse: Laurent Sénéchal, Anatomy of a Fall Should Have Been Nominated: Affonso Gonçalves, May December Film Editing is, in many ways, the key art form to master in filmmaking. One has to know not only where to cut but what to cut, and to take it a step further, what not to. Taking various pieces of footage and fitting them all together so that your film not only feels engaging from moment to moment but exciting to watch, and most of all properly paced, is a task that requires herculean amounts of skill, and not one nominee here is lacking in that skill. Oppenheimer is – you guessed it – the obvious choice here, as Jennifer Lame’s lightning-fast edit transports the viewer across multiple perspectives and eras in the life of its protagonist without missing a step or becoming convoluted along the way. For our part, though, we would give this to Thelma Schoonmaker for her god-like edit of Killers of the Flower Moon, which prioritizes pacing over speed, and as such lends the epic and tragic tale of the Osage murders a greater weight for all the time we spend with it. Since the 70s, Schoonmaker has cemented herself as perhaps the greatest film editor of all time – certainly one of them at least – and the Academy is fast running out of chances to recognize her mastery. BEST CINEMATOGRAPHY The Nominees:
Will Win: Hoyte van Hoytema, Oppenheimer Could Steal: N/A Dark Horse: N/A Should Have Been Nominated: Dan Laustsen, John Wick: Chapter 4 or Linus Sandgren, Saltburn or Łukasz Żal, The Zone of Interest The only film on this list we did not get to see was El Conde, and shame on us for missing it, as the film came out all the way back in September on Netflix, and yet, every time we sat down to watch it, something else would pull our attentions away. Of the four we did see though, Poor Things’ cinematography felt not only the most innovative, but the most appropriate to the tone of the film. The lensing is not only inspired, but purposeful, and often gives the film a feeling of unparalleled uniqueness – there’s just nothing else like it. However, this is yet another award that Oppenheimer is most likely to take, and once again, it is not an undeserved win. Hoyte van Hoytema is one of the great living cinematographers, quickly becoming a household name amongst cinephiles after Dunkirk, Tenet, and Nope (for which he should have been nominated this past year) alongside Emmanuel Lubezki and Roger Deakins, and to see him finally win one is sure to be a treat. BEST DOCUMENTARY FEATURE The Nominees:
Will Win: 20 Days in Mariupol Could Steal: Four Daughters Dark Horse: Bobi Wine: The People’s President Should Have Been Nominated: Beyond Utopia The Best Documentary category is always the most difficult branch to predict in terms of what they will choose to nominate for the Oscars, and if this year is any indication, that’s unlikely to change any time soon. The absence of heavy contenders like American Symphony and Beyond Utopia (particularly the former) makes this category more difficult to understand but also easier to predict a winner for, as the intense and terrifying 20 Days in Mariupol – which chronicles Russia’s beginning invasion of the titular Ukrainian city – now has nothing really standing in its way as it marches towards a near-certain win. As we haven’t seen enough of the films in this category to warrant choosing a “Should Win,” we won’t be doing that here, but we will contend that if 20 Days has any competition at all, it would be in the wildly innovative Four Daughters, whose approaches to both its filmmaking and subject matter are so creative it would be a cinch if not for 20 Days’ feeling of urgency. BEST INTERNATIONAL FEATURE FILM The Nominees:
Will Win: The Zone of Interest (United Kingdom) Could Steal: N/A Dark Horse: The Teachers’ Lounge (Germany) Should Have Been Nominated/Submitted: Anatomy of a Fall (France) Well, the Best International Feature category has once more bitten France in the ass because they chose the wrong film to submit for the Oscars. Don’t get us wrong, The Taste of Things is an absolutely lovely, excellent, and romantic work of glorious quiet and subtlety, but to submit it for the Oscars over Anatomy of a Fall – which not only won the Palme d’Or at the Cannes Film Festival but just came off of a whopping six César Award wins – seemed foolish even when awards season wasn’t yet in full swing. That said, there’s no way this award doesn’t go to the only film also nominated in Best Picture, Jonathan Glazer’s searing portrait of an SS Officer and his family’s “quiet” life in The Zone of Interest, which landed at #2 on our Top 10 Best Movies of 2023 list. BEST ANIMATED FEATURE The Nominees:
Will Win: Spider-Man: Across the Spider-Verse Could Steal: The Boy and the Heron Dark Horse: N/A Should Have Been Nominated: Suzume Firstly, while we have been thus far unable to see Robot Dreams, so has most everyone else, as Neon has decided not to release the film until May of this year, in a move which has riled up some controversy due to the release date’s long proximity from the awards race itself. Regardless, this can go one of two ways. Hayao Miyazaki’s The Boy and the Heron could come out on top, but we think it’s just a little more likely that Annie and PGA winner Spider-Man: Across the Spider-Verse will ultimately take the victory, and according to us, it should. We’ve spoken time and time again about how there’s simply no other team doing animation at this scale right now, bringing things to life audiences would never have though of even based on the previous film’s innovations (Into the Spider-Verse also won this category a few years ago), and if Daniel Pemberton’s score is to fall by the wayside in terms of nominations, the least the Academy can do is hand this film one win. BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR The Nominees:
Will Win: Robert Downey Jr., Oppenheimer Could Steal: Ryan Gosling, Barbie Dark Horse: Sterling K. Brown, American Fiction Should Have Been Nominated: Jamie Bell, All of Us Strangers or Charles Melton, May December We’re up to the big five now. Best Supporting Actor seemed like it could go a few different ways before awards season began, but with the absence of Charles Melton’s uncanny performance in May December – a performance that, frankly, should have been a front-runner in this category, all signs point to Robert Downey Jr. finally landing the plane to take home an Oscar all his own. Some have speculated that Ryan Gosling could steal the show here, and many underestimated the Academy’s love for Sterling K. Brown, but RDJ hasn’t lost this race even once leading into the night, so any name being called except his – which is the strongest of the Supporting Actor performances, to be sure – would be a genuine upset. (We really need to talk about how good Robert De Niro is in Killers of the Flower Moon, though. It’s one of his best performances in years and we’d be fools to let it fall by the wayside.) BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS The Nominees:
Will Win: Da’Vine Joy Randolph, The Holdovers Could Steal: N/A Dark Horse: Jodie Foster, Nyad Should Have Been Nominated: Rachel McAdams, Are You There God? It’s Me, Margaret and/or Julianne Moore, May December Another category all wrapped up in a neat little bow, Da’Vine Joy Randolph is likely to be the sole win for Alexander Payne’s newly-minted Christmas classic, The Holdovers, and she is - without question – our “Should Win” for this category as well. Randolph has been one of our “to watch” stars ever since her dynamically fun turn in Dolemite is My Name, and to see her finally get the spotlight she deserves is really something special. There’s no chance anyone steals this award from her, although it would have been nice to see some love thrown the way of Rachel McAdams for her performance in Are You There God? It’s Me, Margaret. or even to Julianne Moore for hers in May December. Personally speaking, while we do love America Ferrera and her performance in Barbie is one that walks the delicate line well, we would have no problem swapping her out for either one of them. BEST ACTOR The Nominees:
Will Win: Cillian Murphy, Oppenheimer Could Steal: Paul Giamatti, The Holdovers Dark Horse: Jeffrey Wright, American Fiction Should Have Been Nominated: Leonardo DiCaprio, Killers of the Flower Moon or Andrew Scott, All of Us Strangers As far as nominations are concerned, Best Actor metastasized much quicker than the other acting categories, as the five present here felt inevitable once awards season began. The only real question was whether or not the Academy was going to go for Jeffrey Wright over Leonardo DiCaprio, and given all the love for American Fiction, things seemed to be going that way anyway (although if we had our way, we’d probably have them swapped out). Colman Domingo’s nomination was always going to happen, as he landed at every major precursor on the docket prior to his nomination here, and while his performance is quite good, the film is more comfortable playing everything else as safe as it could be, which indicates to us that his time is still to come (get ready for Sing Sing next year, folks; we’re hearing it’s a big one). This, really, is a two-horse race between Cillian Murphy and Paul Giamatti, and as much as we’d like to see Giamatti with an Oscar in one hand and an In-N-Out burger in the other, Cillian Murphy’s victory – reflected by his SAG win most recently – feels like the inevitable crowning moment of the actor’s 20-year working relationship with Christopher Nolan. If you’re going for the safe bet, put money of Murphy. BEST ACTRESS The Nominees:
Will Win: Lily Gladstone, Killers of the Flower Moon Could Steal: Emma Stone, Poor Things Dark Horse: Sandra Hüller, Anatomy of a Fall Should Have Been Nominated: Greta Lee, Past Lives or Margot Robbie, Barbie There’s one glaring issue we have with Best Actress, and as we’re sure you’ve guessed by now, it’s the inclusion of Annette Benning’s frankly subpar work in the decent-but-plain-toast Nyad, which somehow won the nomination over Margot Robbie’s endlessly fun turn in Barbie or, in the case of what we would have chosen in that spot, Greta Lee’s thoroughly moving performance in Past Lives. Yet another two-horse race wherein the SAG awards may have dictated the ultimate winner, we’re predicting a Lily Gladstone victory here, which would make her the first-ever Native American woman to win this category, and it would be a well-deserved win, regardless of whether one believes she should in the supporting categories or not. Her toughest competition comes in the form of Emma Stone’s greatest singular performance to date as Bella Baxter in Poor Things, which is saying something when one considers that she’s only gotten better since her first Oscar win for La La Land all the way back in 2016. Stone continually chooses to challenge herself with every new part; if she manages to eek out a second win within 10 years, we may have to consider her amongst the likes of the greatest to ever do it. (In the unlikely event of a split vote, watch out for Sandra Hüller, though.) BEST DIRECTOR The Nominees:
Will Win: Christopher Nolan, Oppenheimer Could Steal: N/A Dark Horse: N/A Should Have Been Nominated: N/A We might as well have titled this the Christopher Nolan award, as the filmmaking juggernaut is finally poised to have an Oscar in hand after nearly a decade of some of the most exemplary filmmaking the business has ever had to offer. From The Dark Night to Inception to Dunkirk, Nolan’s direction has been snubbed time and time again by the Academy, and at last, his victory is assured, a deserved victory if ever there was one. For our part, however, we do believe that the most deserving nominee is Jonathan Glazer for just how delicate and dark a line The Zone of Interest is able to walk without ever feeling like anything less than an indictment of how easily people are able to deliberately ignore genocides happening right before their very eyes, even participating in them to the degree that their own comfort is unthreatened. Yes, it would be nice to see Scorsese take home a victory here as well for what we feel is the best work of his late-late period filmmaking career, but Glazer’s direction is the thing upon which the success of The Zone of Interest rests, even if it’s not the singular element everyone who sees the film talks about the most. BEST PICTURE The Nominees:
Will Win: Oppenheimer Could Steal: N/A Dark Horse: N/A Should Have Been Nominated: May December or Spider-Man: Across the Spider-Verse Although any of the four films we’ve selected as “Should Win” would be more than worthy, this award has had Oppenheimer’s name on it since awards season began, and its PGA victory, as well as its Best Ensemble award win at SAG and Best Picture wins at nearly every non-critics-based awards show point to an inevitable and resounding victory for what many consider Christopher Nolan’s magnum opus. The case for it winning is strong as well, as the three-hour biopic shot partially in black-and-white about one of history’s most controversial and legendary historical figures made nearly $1 billion at the U.S. box office alone, becoming one of the year’s most widely seen and greatly beloved films; that’s something the Oscars are designed to celebrate, even more than highlighting other great work that may not otherwise be widely seen in the first place; an Oppenheimer win wouldn’t just be a win for the film, but for the Oscars as well (even if we do think Killers of the Flower Moon or The Zone of Interest may ultimately be more inspired choices on the whole). And those are our picks for what Should and what Will Win at the 96th Annual Academy Awards! What do you think of these predictions? Any surprises you’re making bold bets on? Let us know in the comments section below, and thanks for reading!
- The Friendly Film Fan The Friendly Film Fan Recaps the Nominees for the 96th Academy Awards. Well, the day is here, and the Oscar nominations have officially been announced! There weren’t many genuine surprises and a few major snubs occurred, but overall, the field is rich with fantastic choices and a world of great cinema to explore. Personally I was happy to see Killers of the Flower Moon get some love in unexpected places like Original Song (though that Best Adapted Screenplay miss does hurt) and films like Anatomy of a Fall score some key nods that put it higher than many pundits had it in terms of how likely it would be to win categories. I’ll also proudly boast that I went 5 for 5 on four categories – including Best Supporting Actor, betting on Sterling K. Brown over Willem Dafoe – as well as 10 for 10 in Best Picture, and most other categories’ perfect scores were missed due to at least one of my three wildcards making it in over a predicted nominee. All that said, some of the snubs did hurt (though not the ones you might think). Personally, I’m not that surprised that Greta Gerwig was not nominated for Best Director; if she wasn’t nominated for Little Women, being nominated for something inherently more commercial – even if Todd Phillips was able to do it with a far lesser quality film – would still have been a stretch for the Academy. (Plus, it seemed Justine Triet would be closer to their taste in terms of the film that was made.) What did bum me out me was the absence of Margot Robbie in Best Actress, not because of her absence from the category as a whole – though it is weird that the other two actors from Barbie were included and not her – but because of the nominee that replaced her. Almost everyone in this category was relatively safe, give or take a “Gladstone missed BAFTA” surprise, but the final spot was between Robbie, Greta Lee, Fantasia Barrino, Annette Benning, and (though it would’ve been a little out of nowhere) Aunjanue Ellis-Taylor. Unfortunately, the Academy went with the weakest choice out of all five in Annette Benning, whose performance in Nyad isn’t the worst I’ve ever seen for a nominee here, but I would argue is a bad performance. The frustration is in how there were at least 4 better choices that all got passed up. But, the actors branch nominated actors, and Benning made the SAG lineup, so I’m not surprised, per se…I’m just disappointed. The other puzzling snubs category is, as it turned out, was Best Original Score, in which American Fiction edged out leading candidates such as The Boy and the Heron, Spider-Man: Across the Spider-Verse, and The Zone of Interest. I say that American Fiction edged them out because John Williams being nominated for Indiana Jones and the Dial of Destiny is not as surprising when once considers that this is the same Academy who nominated the 91-year-old composing legend for The Rise of Skywalker, which was not one of the ten best scores of that year either. It's just upsetting to see American Fiction and Indiana Jones take not one but two shots at the category away from both The Boy and the Heron and Across the Spider-Verse, a sign that even this new Academy has yet to truly treat animated films as seriously as they deserve to be treated. I personally barely remember the score for American Fiction, but Williams’ score for Indiana Jones is good – it just will never stick in my memory the way Spider-Verse does. Other surprises included America Ferrera landing the plane for Barbie to take the 5th spot in Best Supporting Actress in a toss up between other five possibles, Killers of the Flower Moon being passed on in Adapted Screenplay in favor of The Zone of Interest, both American Symphony and Beyond Utopia missing Documentary Feature (though that category always snubs a leader anyway), Robot Dreams squeezing into Animated Feature with just enough room to spare, May December managing to stay in the game just enough to nab an Original Screenplay nod, and Mission: Impossible’s Oscar curse finally coming to an end with the franchise’s first two nominations in Visual Effects and Sound. There’s a lot to celebrate this year – especially with one of the best Best Picture lineups in recent memory – so let’s go over them all again. Here is the full list of nominees for the 96th Annual Academy Awards! BEST PICTURE The Nominees:
BEST DIRECTOR The Nominees:
BEST ACTRESS The Nominees:
BEST ACTOR The Nominees:
BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS The Nominees:
BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR The Nominees:
BEST ANIMATED FEATURE The Nominees:
BEST INTERNATIONAL FEATURE FILM The Nominees:
BEST DOCUMENTARY FEATURE The Nominees:
BEST CINEMATOGRAPHY The Nominees:
BEST FILM EDITING The Nominees:
BEST PRODUCTION DESIGN The Nominees:
BEST COSTUME DESIGN The Nominees:
BEST MAKEUP & HAIRSTYLING The Nominees:
BEST ORIGINAL SCORE The Nominees:
BEST ORIGINAL SONG The Nominees:
BEST ADAPTED SCREENPLAY The Nominees:
BEST ORIGNAL SCREENPLAY The Nominees:
BEST VISUAL EFFECTS The Nominees:
BEST SOUND The Nominees:
BEST LIVE-ACTION SHORT The Nominees:
BEST ANIMATED SHORT The Nominees:
BEST DOCUMENTARY SHORT The Nominees:
What do you think of these nominees? Were there any major snubs on your ballot? Any pleasant surprises? Let us know in the comments section below, and thanks for reading!
- The Friendly Film Fan Greetings, all! The second-most-anticipated day of the year is nearly upon us; in just over 24 hours, the Oscar nominations will be unveiled, and we will all see whether our favorite films of the year find favor with the Academy or – as the case may be – are snubbed in favor of other work. Here at The Friendly Film Fan, we too enjoy the guessing games involved with what will be nominated and what is left off the list, and in 2023, many of these races are as exciting as they’ve ever been. Will Leonardo DiCaprio fail to secure a nomination for Killers of the Flower Moon? Will Past Lives surge just enough to squeeze in Greta Lee? Just how in love is the Academy with Penélope Cruz? And below decks, can May December or All of Us Strangers manage to shake up the screenplay categories? Our answers to these questions take the form of selecting the most likely nominees in each category, with 3 wildcard selections for other candidates that may slip in with just enough room to spare. It’s all on the edge of the world’s sharpest knife, just waiting to tilt to one side or the other. Here are our official predictions for the nominations at the 96th Annual Academy Awards! BEST PICTURE Predicted Nominees:
BEST DIRECTOR Predicted Nominees:
BEST ACTRESS Predicted Nominees:
BEST ACTOR Predicted Nominees
BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS Predicted Nominees:
BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR Predicted Nominees:
BEST ANIMATED FEATURE Predicted Nominees:
BEST INTERNATIONAL FEATURE FILM Predicted Nominees:
BEST DOCUMENTARY FEATURE Predicted Nominees:
BEST CINEMATOGRAPHY Predicted Nominees:
BEST FILM EDITING Predicted Nominees:
BEST PRODUCTION DESIGN Predicted Nominees:
BEST COSTUME DESIGN Predicted Nominees:
BEST MAKEUP & HAIRSTYLING Predicted Nominees:
BEST ORIGINAL SCORE Predicted Nominees:
BEST ORIGINAL SONG Predicted Nominees:
BEST ADAPTED SCREENPLAY Predicted Nominees:
BEST ORIGNAL SCREENPLAY Predicted Nominees:
BEST VISUAL EFFECTS Predicted Nominees:
BEST SOUND Predicted Nominees:
BEST LIVE-ACTION SHORT Predicted Nominees:
BEST ANIMATED SHORT Predicted Nominees:
BEST DOCUMENTARY SHORT Predicted Nominees:
What do you think of these predictions? Who are you hoping to see nominated? Let us know in the comments section below, and thanks for reading!
- The Friendly Film Fan By Jacob Thomas Jones Yorgos Lanthimos, to those familiar with his work, is one of the most striking voices in cinema. Having risen from Dogtooth all the way to Oscar winner The Favourite, his style of direction and storytelling has been one many other artists have sought not simply to emulate, but to embody. The quirks of his characters, the oft atonal yet spellbinding nature of his composers’ musical scores, the unconventionally enrapturing cinematography – all of these set Lanthimos apart, in a league entirely his own such that anyone seeking to copy his style appears at best unprepared and, at worst, a fool. Each time a film of his releases, one gets the distinct sense that no other artist in the world could pull these things off in exactly the way he does; in truth, he is the very definition of a “visionary filmmaker.”
With Poor Things, his latest release starring Emma Stone, Mark Ruffalo, Willem Dafoe, Ramy Youssef, and Kathryn Hunter, Lanthimos seeks once more to introduce his audience to a world entirely unique to the silver screen and to characters whose beings blossom there before our very eyes. Not only does he succeed in this endeavor (and then some), but there may not have been more appropriate material for such an enterprise. Being in the middle of the Poor Things book, I can say without a doubt that the source material could not be more appropriate for a Yorgos Lanthimos project, particularly wherein it concerns our main character, Bella Baxter (as played by Emma Stone). Bella is a curious creation of scientific experimentation, and as such does not behave, speak, or indeed move in the same way a normal person would in this world. As Dr. Godwin Baxter (Willem Dafoe) puts it so plainly in the film’s trailer, “her brain and her body are not quite synchronized.” Stone has always been a rare talent and has amassed an impressive body of work, but she rises to yet another level with her performance here, dare I say a career-best. She not only embodies the idea of a fearless performer, but lives Bella’s journey in every minute. The thing that’s most impressive about her work in this case is not only that she aces the off-beat movements and speech patterns of Bella in the earlier parts of the film, but that as Bella grows as a person and begins to open up to and explore the world around her, Stone’s performance changes in turn, never once falling behind where the story needs the character to be, or feeling too experienced in the early stages to have the sort of naivety the character would logically require. There’s been quite a lot of hand-wringing regarding the film’s depiction of women’s sexual liberation, or if it indeed can be called that once viewed through a feminist framework, especially considering that early naivety and its proximity to her first sexual experiences. Some have suggested that Bella’s journey is a victim of the male gaze, as exhibited by the absence of menstrual blood in the film or her nudity being near-total in several of her sexual encounters as she comes to discover the world around her, while others have argued that her control in each of these scenes and the fact that she only engages with these things on her own terms – when she wants to – supports the idea that the film is a feminist reading on women’s sexuality as a whole. While I cannot offer a definitive stance in either direction, I lean closer to the latter, though I also am not naïve enough to consider myself a foremost authority on the subject. In either case, Emma Stone’s remarkable turn stands as a testament to her power as an actress; whichever side one finds themselves on, her performance remains unimpeachably impressive. Stone isn’t the only performer turning in impressive work, however. We’ve all known Mark Ruffalo to be a talented actor, but rarely have we ever borne witness to him being this funny. Much of Poor Things’ humor is abrasive, crass, often transgressive in the way it simply shoots out of the script, and while Emma Stone certainly owns the screen and gets most of the funnier moments to herself, Ruffalo ends up getting a lot of humorous moments to play with as well. The joy of watching his work here is as much in his reactions to the way Bella behaves as in what he says in response. It’s in the way Ruffalo carries himself like a spoiled child as soon as things don’t go his way, but switches almost immediately to desperation as soon as he needs something from Bella, only to then switch back when he realizes he can’t get it the way he wants. Compared to his other works, this seems to me to be his most daring stretch to date. As to the filmmaking itself, it is a remarkable feat. What Lanthimos and company have accomplished in this respect is nothing short of astonishing (even with some light pacing issues, in my opinion), particularly wherein it concerns the way the film looks. The production and costume designs are fascinating in all their weirdness, enhanced by Robbie Ryan’s immaculate cinematography. The ultra-wide lensing in lesser hands would feel pretentious or ill-used, but with this film, Ryan clearly understands exactly when and where using it will enhance the story of every frame, never deploying it without purpose, nor holding it so tightly that it appears unnatural when released to the screen. The use of color as Bella’s world begins to grow larger is positively striking, the boldness of them and their contrasts growing more and more as they reflect the levels of nuance Bella’s mind is capable of. Of course, the original score by Jerskin Fendrix is brilliantly utilized in all the right places as well, enhancing the strange, melancholic allure of the world just as thoroughly as Bella’s wonder in traversing it, but there are only so many ways to describe the plucks of the strings and blast of organs in certain scenes before simply referring to such music as one of the best scores of the year because it feels the only way to appropriately describe its irregular beauty. Truly, the world of the film is an experience worth having all its own, even if Bella Baxter were not the one to take us through it. Poor Things will not be for everyone, and in fact, may generally turn a lot of people off to the idea of Yorgos Lanthimos altogether (if one of his previous films hasn’t already), but for movie lovers – and particularly those movie lovers who have a taste for the wonderfully strange – it will surely come as a delightfully weird treat deserving of any number of awards thrown its way. For my own part, although I have little sense of where it would rank in my personal assessment of Lanthimos’ filmography and I am unsure of just how much I like it when compared to other films I’ve seen this year, it is without a doubt among the very best 2023 has had to offer. I’m giving “Poor Things” a 9.7/10 - The Friendly Film Fan |
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